>Thanks for the heads up.  If you have a moment, can you point me to one or two 
>book/review 
>articles (by someone whose methodology you respect) that covers predictors of long 
>term on-the-
>job performance ?

I don't know of any studies of long-term job performance though I wouldn't be 
surprised if there 
were some out there.  As you might imagine measuring job performance is a tricky 
business. 
What you can measure well is almost always a relatively narrow measure of only some
part of the job while the best you can do for total job performance is something vague 
and
unreliable like supervisor assessments. I imagine that some of the studies that use 
supervisor
assessments might involve impressions formed over long periods of time, but I've been 
mainly 
interested in the more objective measures since I got into this literature to 
understand the relative efficacy of IQ tests for predicting the performance of blacks 
and whites. 
One of these days I _will_ write up something on my views on The Bell Curve which is 
no small task because they are relatively highly nuanced.
 -- Bill Dickens


William T. Dickens
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20036
Phone: (202) 797-6113
FAX:     (202) 797-6181
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