Hi, Yes, I agree that a decision/idea futures market would be a great idea for resolving such issues. Incidentally, any news regarding the implementation of a real money, full-fledged idea futures market? I heard rumors that someone was actively working on an real-money exchange in England. Chris Robin Hanson wrote: > or a coincidence is to get market estimates of stock and bond prices > *conditional* on the party of the next president. (The mechanics of doing > this are described at http://hanson.gmu.edu/decisionmarkets.pdf) I predict > that speculators would estimate a *much* smaller than 9pt difference, > if any, between Republican vs. Democrat stock returns. > > Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu > Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University > MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 > 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 -- Web: http://www.openknowledge.org/
