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The Clout of Capital Friday, April 19, 2002 Donald
Luskin
There's an important new book that every investor should
read. First published as Luskin's Ahead of the Curve column for
SmartMoney.com on April 19, 2002.
THE FORCE OF FINANCE Reuven
Brenner Texere: 2002
The Force of Finance is an important new book
that should cause investors to tear themselves away from their usual
obsession with recession, earnings season and the accounting scandal du
jour. It's one of those books that come along only once or twice in a
generation – one with the power to redefine the way we understand the
rules of the game of global economic growth.
The author of this
remarkable book is Reuven Brenner, a professor of business at Montreal's
McGill University. Brenner is an economist and an academic, yet he tells me
he "despises academia and economists." That's because he has no time for the
usual conception of economics as "the dismal science," defined by
British economist Lionel Robbins as "the study of the use of scarce
resources which have alternative uses." Instead, Brenner's economics is
a joyful social science, based on his proposition that "Prosperity is the
result of matching brains with capital and holding both sides
accountable."
The Force of Finance is a celebration of the ultimate
un-scarce resource – brains: the unlimited creative power of human
beings to build wealth. Brenner believes that the best brains from around
the world will try to migrate to those countries and those industries
where they can achieve their highest potential. For Brenner, that means
they will seek the most highly developed and most open financial markets
they can find, trying to match their brains with capital. He should know –
born in Rumania in 1947 as the son of concentration camp survivors, Brenner
moved his own brain first to Israel, and finally to Canada.
For
Brenner, America is at the top of the pyramid of global growth and global
wealth because "The United States has created a society in which anyone
with talent, energy, and the ability to organize has access to financial
resources. Banks, venture capitalists, underwriters, and asset-management
firms do not much care who your grandfather was or whether you dropped out
of college. They only want to know if they can make money by backing you."
With our capital markets beckoning and our relatively open immigration
policies, America attracts the cr�me de la cr�me of the world's
brains.
The result is more than just material wealth. Brenner
believes that as countries move closer to the American model of open capital
markets they are able to harvest important social and institutional
advantages, as well. The more developed and more active a country's
capital market, the larger the percentage of total resource- allocation
decisions that are being made not by elitist government planners, but by
informed market participants who will risk their own fortunes on making the
right decisions. Brenner says, "Mercantile interests are diverse, not
dogmatic." That means that everyone has a stake in stable institutions,
lots of new ideas get tried out, and bad decisions quickly get diversified
away or corrected.
What prevents every nation from imitating the
American model of free financial markets? Brenner believes that ruling
elites – not just monarchs, but too-powerful vested political and commercial
interest, as well – know that "nothing disperses power more quickly than
democratized capital markets – just as nothing threatens a company
more than competitors with access to cheaper financing."
Brenner
shows that the elites use a bewildering variety of "mythologies, economic
ones and financial ones in particular," to justify keeping capital
markets unfree. And it is for their complicity in this myth-making that
Brenner damns his fellow economists. What Brenner calls "the illusion of
macroeconomics as a science" has given birth to a global industry that
creates, interprets and debates meaningless statistics about economic
activity. "Economists transformed a self-serving political idea (a
benevolent big government) into a neutral-sounding scientific debate
about numbers and statistical methods. Macroeconomics thus became an
obscure theory that could be taught in dictatorial regimes as well as
democratic ones."
Even in the United States, perched at the very top of
the pyramid, the smooth functioning of free financial markets is constantly
endangered by governmental abuse of groundless economic myths. One of
many examples offered by Brenner is the theory of Princeton economist Paul
Krugman that a perpetual rate of inflation to 2% to 4% is beneficial.
Brenner despairs, "Do not ask why. Even a yearly inflation rate of 2%
doubles the price level in 35 years. Yet that is not the only bewildering
idea that Krugman and other economists offer today."
But economic
myths are not the only culprits. Any dogma that disconnects brains from
capital sets back the cause of prosperity. "The three big innovations that
brought about the Renaissance in Europe – the printing press, the compass,
and gunpowder – all originated in China centuries before. But when rigid
Confucianism was imposed during the Ming and Manchu dynasties, Chinese
inventiveness ceased."
Brenner notes that for many Islamic nations, the
decision to allow no separation of church and state has "resulted in
accepting interpretations of the Koran as final arbiters on commercial and
financial matters." Islamic law cripples open capital markets by
prohibiting charging interest on loans, and forbidding any contract
involving gharar – any risk, uncertainty or speculation. "Religion
may offer a moral compass, but does not offer solutions to practical
problems societies are facing, especially when their populations are
exploding. Unfortunately stumbling on natural riches only makes matters
worse…because those in power can spend more on military." And terrorism,
I would add.
In some sense the terrorist attacks of September 11 can be
seen as a battle in a war between the top of the pyramid and the bottom,
between the civilization with the most free financial markets, and the
civilization with the least free. Perhaps it is more than a coincidence that
the buildings destroyed that day were not only New York's tallest, but were
called the World Trade Center. "World trade" is an apt symbol for the
open capital markets that fundamentalist regimes have outlawed and
vilified.
In that light Brenner worries about the war on terrorism.
"But what does `victory' mean? The answer I found was that
enduring evidence of victory comes with the democratization of capital
markets around the world." A very tall order, and one calling in the long
run more on diplomatic skills than military force.
But as the
title of Brenner's book suggests, finance is itself a powerful force. The
Force of Finance provides a template for how the architects of a new world
order can allow capital markets and commercial institutions to create not
only prosperity, but stability and freedom as well.
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