Ram:

>>  Not to suggest here that the Bondhos don't have negative impacts on
>  society. They obviously do.
>
>  But those numbers? I think they are mostly an attempt to look
>  'scientific', meaning very little.


*** I opened your mail eagerly to see what, if any, are your 
explanations to suggest where my assessments were WRONG in the above. 
I made it quite clear that I might be missing something here.

But I found nothing.

There was NO spin on my part. But I find that you needed to spin what 
I proposed:-).

So, maybe you should read what I wrotre once, more, and then address 
the questions I raise, and explain what the numbers that have been 
thrown around are telling us.

c-da








At 9:13 AM -0500 9/6/05, Ram Sarangapani wrote:
>C'da,
>
>That was one of the best spins I have heard all year. Inspite of the
>fact that you do acknowledge that there could be negative effects of
>bondhos, you seem to say that such numbers don't matter much since
>(if)
>
>(a) its a loss to to State exchequer (as they don't produce anyway)
>(b) to the Center (well - thats a good thing, since thats one more
>strike against the Center ie. more bondhos the merrier, as its the
>Center that hurts in the end).
>
>(just because we don't want to render unto Caesar, it surely doesn't
>mean we would need to throttle ourselves first - a fast track to
>self-destruction?) :)
>
>The State Govt. inept as you may think it is, does provide some
>essential services to the common man.
>Whether its releasing funds for retired teachers or releasing
>fertilizers or seeds for the farmer, or pensions, or salaries (a lot
>of which does go to to the lower strata) are all affected.
>
>The theory that bondhos will affect the receipts to the Center is also
>flawed. The Center (right or wrong) receives a percentage of revenues
>from the State. So, if the State's receipts are reduced, yes the
>Center would also see a reduction, but the State will now have to
>contend with a smaller portion too.
>
>Then there is another crucial factor: When receipts to the Center are
>reduced, it tells the Center some particular industry (Tea/plywood) is
>not doing that great, investments to such industries from the Center
>could be reduced.
>
>Cost of bondhos is obviously in loss of productivity. We all know the
>effects of that.
>
>There are some hidden costs too: like discouraging private investment
>is a state plauged by bondhos every second day. That could lead to
>lower employment rates in that sector.
>
>The fact is bondhos affect the state/people all around. Rs. 41 crores
>per day may have been pulled from some hat (if thats what you want to
>believe).
>
>Rest assured, the costs must be substantial. Prohibitive enough for
>the people and intellectuals to recognize them. Prohibitive enough for
>intellectuals to discourage bondhs and suggest other ways for people
>to express grievances in ways OTHER than bandhs. And prohibitive
>enough for intellectuals NOT to encourage bondhos on one pretext or
>another.
>
>--Ram
>
>
>
>
>On 9/6/05, Chan Mahanta <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>  I am an economically challenged person. Don't understand the meaning
>>  of the numbers being cited. It does not matter about the magnitudes,
>>  the quantities, and the accuracy of the stats. But what in essence
>>  does it mean, when someone cites X-crores being lost in Y number of
>>  Bondhos and thus Assam is set beck by Z number of years?
>>
>>         ** Does it mean that the 'sorkar' lost revenue? If so, which
>>         sorkar, Assam or Central?
>>
>>         ** Does it mean that amount of money has evaporated or does it mean
>>         that exchange of goods and services estimated to be worth that much
>>         did not take place?
>>
>>         ** Does it mean productivity amounting to that much did not 
>>take place?
>>
>>         ** Does it mean the numbers are a combination of some or all of the
>>         above?
>>
>>  The reasons for my asking are these:
>>
>>         I think ( I am not sure obviously), the numbers do not tell us much.
>  >        They would mean something substantial only when 
>PRODUCTIVITY of goods
>>         and services produced is impacted substantially, and when salary
>>         and profits are impacted.
>>
>>         What is the worth of goods produced in Assam? Not much to begin with.
>>
>>         Assam gets peanuts for its oil, paid as royalty for crude. The rest
>>         goes to the Center, doesn't it?  The employees get paid anyway.
>>
>>         The govt. and the lrgest employer does not produce anything--or
>>         almost nothing, anyway. So any value assigned to it would 
>>be a fiction.
>>
>>         Commerece, exchange of goods in trade may suffer, consumption
>>         level may drop on those days of the Bondhos, but will be compensated
>>         by increases on the non-Bondho days. Again the employees 
>>will get paid
>>         anyway.
>>
>>
>  > Not to suggest here that the Bondhos don't have negative impacts on
>>  society. They obviously do.
>>
>>  But those numbers? I think they are mostly an attempt to look
>  > 'scientific', meaning very little.
>>
>>
>>  So where am I wrong :-)?
>>
>>
>>  cm
>>
>>
>>
>>  _______________________________________________
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>>  http://assamnet.org/mailman/listinfo/assam_assamnet.org
>>

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