Sounds too optimistic.
Would Delhi dare to lob ANYTHING at all(keeping its ICBM's back)?mm> Date:
Thu, 25 Oct 2007 09:44:51 -0700> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]> To:
[email protected]> Subject: Re: [Assam] Mr Sud, study the depth of insurgency
in the EastSouthAsia. At least FIFTEEN MILLION mutinous indigenous ESA
inhabitants rising up as a deadly foe against the Indian army and
administration give a clear picture of the ‘writing on the wall’.> > Dear
Bartta Bistar bhai> > Who told you that the people of NER would like to join>
the Communist China?> > Assam is an extension of the great Indic civilisation.>
It extends upto Cambodia. India rules the minds of> Sinic civilisation through
Buddhism upto Sakhalin.> > What Dr. Sud wrote is right. China knew they will>
never be able to hold onto Indian territory. Whatever> they are holding now is
worthless piece of land, only> useful on map.> > China is going to face a major
upheaval for democracy> after sometime. It is also surrounded by enemies all>
around, so it can never afford to attack a strong and> nuclear India in
future.> > Also wars will be fought only in markets and> boardrooms in the 21st
century. So don't have any> illusion and try to misguide the people of NER.> >
In any case 1.5 million got reduced by 31 day before.> More of your friends
will be coming to enjoy the loots> they have accumulated.> > You better bandho
your 'bori bistar'> -vox populi> > --- Bartta Bistar <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:> > > Commentary: China's military prowess in Tibet> > > >>
http://www.upiasiaonline.com/security/2007/10/23/commentary_chinas_military_prowess_in_tibet/>
> > > TORONTO, Oct. 23> > > > HARI SUD> > > > Column: Abroad View> > > > A
successful invasion of India by China is the China> > watcher's pipedream.> >
They always envision that China could unleash its> > army of 2.5 million men
on> > India and conquer it. That would only be possible if> > China were able
to> > muster all its 2.5 million soldiers on the> > India-Tibet border,
however. This> > is highly unlikely. If they did, they would meet> > India's
army of 1.1 million> > men, ready to spoil their party. These China lovers> >
in the West have become> > more vociferous since China completed its> >
Tibet-China rail link. They> > believe it has become very easy for the Chinese
to> > move men and materials to> > Tibet.> > > > This newly built rail link is
a paper tiger. It> > is so open to a missile> > or air attack that it would be
foolish for the> > Chinese military to consider> > it as a vital supply link.
Bridges and tunnels in> > large number on this route> > could be targeted by
Indian Brahmos cruise missiles.> > Rebuilding them would> > be a long process.
In addition, the hostile Tibetan> > populace could make it> > impossible for
this rail link to function.> > > > China maintains about 16 to 18 divisions in>
> Tibet, facing India in> > Arunachal Pradesh and Akash Chin in Kashmir. A
minor> > disposition of troops> > is maintained in the central sector to
safeguard> > supply routes. In all,> > 240,000 men are lightly equipped
mountain divisions,> > foot mobile and very> > vulnerable to heavily equipped
Indian troops across> > the Himalayas. China's> > more heavily armed troops are
retained in Chengdu> > military district, 800> > miles away.> > > > The Chinese
air force is a bulky, poor quality> > force. It has a very> > limited number of
high performance aircraft from> > Russia. The Chinese have> > reverse
engineered a few Russian and American> > models, but these copies are> > poor
quality. Most of these aircraft are deployed> > opposite Taiwan. Even if> >
some were relocated to the Indian border, they would> > have trouble landing> >
and taking off at elevations of 7,000 to 8,000 feet,> > with their full> >
complement of armaments in Tibet. That makes it> > difficult for them to match>
> Indian fighter aircraft.> > > > China's navy faces certain death, including
its> > aircraft carriers and> > their nuclear submarines, if they venture far
away> > from their homeports. In> > any India-China war, it is unlikely that
the West> > would either stay neutral> > or go to the Chinese side. They would
be delighted> > if the Chinese navy> > suffered a major reverse at the hands of
the> > Indians. This they could ensure> > by providing timely information to
India on its> > movements.> > > > Hence, it would boil down to a fight between>
> China's lightly equipped> > infantry and India's medium to lightly equipped>
> infantry. The army with> > superior tactics, knowledge of the ground and> >
high-tech surveillance would> > carry the day. The last military match in 1962
went> > to China, as Indians> > were poorly equipped and poorly deployed.> > >
> The Chinese know the Indian military> > advancements well. They also know> >
about their own vulnerability in Tibet. In the last> > ten years, when they> >
increased their defense expenditures substantially> > in Tibet, they built
four> > new airfields and several new missile bases. This in> > fact has
bolstered> > their offensive capability, but it also made them> > targets to
tactical> > theater missiles.> > > > China spends US$90 billion in
defense-related> > expenditures every year.> > It admits to only US$50 billion.
The rest is hidden> > in secret state security> > operations and development
projects unrelated to the> > military. Also a bulk> > is spent on nuclear
submarines, nuclear missiles and> > aircraft carriers to> > match the West.
Although China's military> > expenditure at US$45 billion is> > huge, yet
consider this: China has to support an> > army of 2.5 million men, an> > Air
Force of 3,000 old aircraft and a navy of> > 250,000 men, with 45> >
submarines, destroyers, battle cruisers and other> > naval craft. Considering>
> the size of the military forces, this much> > expenditure is about average.>
> > > Until 1995, Chinese ground forces and air force> > were equipped with> >
1950s-era hardware all supplied by the Soviet Union.> > The Soviets withdrew> >
all military support from China after the Chinese> > demanded the return of> >
large tracts of land from the Soviet Union. The> > Ussiri River military> >
clashes followed. This falling out was never> > repaired. Hence the Chinese> >
were stuck with old and very old hardware until> > about 1995. Modernization
is> > now underway, but modernizing a 2.5 million force is> > a long and
tedious job,> > especially when no modern hardware is available for> >
purchase.> > > > China's current military commitments are also> > large. The
country has> > stationed 20 percent of its forces on the> > China-Russia
border. The other 30> > percent are stationed opposite Taiwan, together with> >
the bulk of their> > high-tech hardware. Of the remaining 50 percent of> > its
forces, about 50> > percent are reserves (about 20 divisions) and the> >
remaining forces face> > India and other Southeast Asian neighbors like> >
Vietnam, Myanmar, and> > Thailand.> > > > Hence it is not a very large force
that faces> > India.> > > > China does have one advantage -- Chinese troops> >
and garrisons are very> > close to the India-Tibet border. This will allow> >
them to reinforce their> > border guards very quickly. They could maintain
huge> > pressure on India's> > forward positions. That would give them a huge>
> psychological advantage. The> > disadvantage would be that depleting the
reserves in> > Tibet would be an> > invitation to Tibetan rebels to take
advantage.> > India would surely help.> > > > Facing all this, India has
equipped a total of> > eight mountain divisions,> > with four more that could
easily convert to mountain> > warfare. These are foot> > mobile and are larger
in strength than their Chinese> > counterparts. They are> > trained in mountain
and snow warfare. Their> > equipment is a couple of shades> > heavier than that
of the Chinese. These troops are> > stationed a bit farther> > away from the
border, which is a disadvantage. But> > the Indian border guards> > occupy high
ground, which would be an advantage in a> > defensive battle. They> > could
hold the line until the bulk of the army> > arrived.> > > > Overall India
spends about US$22 billion a year> > on its defense forces,> > which number
about 1.1 million and 600 combat> > aircraft and two dozen> > submarines, two
aircraft carriers and a multitude of> > other vessels. About 50> > percent of
India's defense commitments are> > Pakistan-related. The remaining> > 50
percent are divided between protecting the border> > with China, internal> >
security and reserves. India's military hardware is> > a bit more> >
sophisticated. These are not reverse-engineered> > copies > === message
truncated ===>> _______________________________________________> > assam
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http://assamnet.org/mailman/listinfo/assam_assamnet.org> > > > > > > >
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