Why the demise of civilisation may be inevitable

02 April 2008 
Debora MacKenzie 
Magazine issue 2650 
DOOMSDAY. The end of civilisation. Literature and film abound with tales of 
plague, famine and wars which ravage the planet, leaving a few survivors 
scratching out a primitive existence amid the ruins. Every civilisation in 
history has collapsed, after all. Why should ours be any different? 
Doomsday scenarios typically feature a knockout blow: a massive asteroid, 
all-out nuclear war or a catastrophic pandemic (see "The end of civilisation"). 
Yet there is another chilling possibility: what if the very nature of 
civilisation means that ours, like all the others, is destined to collapse 
sooner or later? 
A few researchers have been making such claims for years. Disturbingly, recent 
insights from fields such as complexity theory suggest that they are right. It 
appears that once a society develops beyond a certain level of complexity it 
becomes increasingly fragile. Eventually, it reaches a point at which even a 
relatively minor ...
The complete article is 2423 words long.
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