How does this harm Assam    and LOOK EAST policy?> Date: Tue, 27 May 2008 
01:29:49 -0700> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: [email protected]; [EMAIL 
PROTECTED]> Subject: [Assam] China adds to India’s woes> > China adds to 
India’s woes> > — Dr Monika Chansoria> Trouble appears to be brewing amongst 
the Asian nations, including India, with China building a massive strategic 
underground submarine naval base that could house N-submarines and a host of 
aircraft carriers on Hainan Island. in South China Sea, south of Hong Kong. The 
base, being built near the holiday resort of Sanya on Hainan Island’s southern 
tip, was revealed by commercial satellite images on May 3, 2008.> > According 
to satellite imagery reported by the Federation of American Scientists and 
Britain’s Daily Telegraph, the base has a sea entrance wide enough to allow 
submarines to enter the underground facilities with as many as 11 tunnel 
openings.> > Beijing seems to have circumspectly designed this new base since 
it stands at close proximity to vital sea-lanes in the South China Sea and 
Straits of Malacca. The Chinese are resolute to protect this since 80 per cent 
of its oil supplies presently move through the channel before traversing the 
South China Sea to mainland ports. In addition, the location could give China 
better access to disputed territories, such as the Parcel Islands and Spratly 
Islands in the South China Sea.> > Furthermore, the Hainan Island underground 
base, incidentally, will house the new Shang-class Type 093 nuclear ballistic 
missile submarines (SSBNs) and the in-class Type-094 SSBNs. Moreover, the new 
Type 094 Jin-class submarines were captured in the images.> > ‘The Jin-class 
includes 12 missile silos and will be equipped with Julang-2 submarine-launched 
ballistic missiles with a reported maximum range of almost 5,000 miles. The 
location of the base off Hainan are expected to give the submarines access to 
very deep waters—exceeding 15,000 feet—within a few miles. making them even 
harder to detect.> > Refusing to confirm or deny the submarine base, Chinese 
Foreign Ministry spokesperson Qin Gang said, “There is no need for the Western 
countries to be worried, or concerned, or make any irresponsible accusations. 
We have a vast territorial sea and it is the sacred duty of the Chinese army to 
safeguard the sovereignty of our territorial sea and maritime rights and 
interests. China’s national defence and military building will not pose a 
threat to any country.”> > Palpably. these developments are being monitored 
minutely in India since New Delhi holds significant security interests in the 
Indian Ocean. Expressing security concerns at China’s nuclear submarine base. 
Indian Navy Chief Admiral Sureesh Mehta said, “Though India is not worried 
about Beijing building a strategic naval base on Hainan Island in the South 
China Sea, it is concerned about the numbers. Nuclear submarines have long legs 
(traversing anywhere between 7,000-15,000 km) and it is immaterial where they 
are based.” Apparently, unlike conventional (diesel-electric) submarines, 
nuclear-powered submarines have the ability to remain submerged for long 
periods of time.> > Incidentally. India successfully tested its 3,500 km-range 
nuclear capable intermediate range ballistic missile Agni-III on May 7, 2008. 
Agni III is capable of reaching targets in Beijing and Shanghai and is ready 
for induction. Although India possesses air and land-based nuclear delivery 
platforms in the form of ballistic missiles (Agni and Prithvi), an undersea 
platform such as a nuclear submarine, the third leg of a nuclear triad, remains 
deficient.> > Indian Navy is considered to be the world’s fifth largest and New 
Delhi for years has been pursuing indigenous nuclear-powered submarine 
capability, under what is known as the ATV pursuing (advanced technology 
vessel) project. Moreover, New Delhi is in discussions with Moscow for a 
12,000-ton Akula-11 class nuclear submarine. In case it finds success, India 
would be the sixth country to follow the US. Russia. Britain. France and China 
to boast of a sea borne nuclear deterrent.> > Crucially, there is a sizeable 
section of the strategic community within India that views China as a long-term 
military threat, surpassing Pakistan. China’s ‘strategic encirclement strategy 
of India’ is of critical significance for New Delhi where in Beijing it has 
built the Gwadar port, as an alternative to Karachi, beyond the easy reach of 
Indian Navy. Similarly, on India’s vulnerable northeast, China has a close ally 
in Myanmar, which will be providing China direct access to the Indian Ocean by 
passing the Malacca Straits. In the south, Sri Lanka is receiving special 
attention from China, where Beijing is developing the Hambantota port in the 
southern tip of the island, which dominates the Indian Ocean shipping lanes.> > 
Even though, Chinese nuclear submarines have so far never operated in the 
Indian Ocean, this latest facility—which is 2.000 nautical miles away from the 
Andaman Islands—will be its nearest access point to the region. Given the huge 
volumes of oil movement between the Persian Gulf and the Malacca Straits 
towards North Asia, the Indian Navy has been looking to plug this deficiency.> 
> Significantly, another crucial factor impinging on Asia’s strategic paradigm 
is China’s “String of Pearls” phenomenon that describes Beijing’s rising 
geopolitical influence through efforts to increase access to ports and 
airfields. develop special diplomatic relationships, and modernize military 
forces that extend from the South China Sea through the Straits of Malacca, 
across the Indian Ocean, and on to the Arabian Gulf.> > Militarily. the US too 
would be intent at maintaining superior military power to guarantee security 
and serve as a hedge against a possible future “China threat”. In the “String 
of Pearls” region, US efforts are aimed at broadening and deepening American 
influence among the regional states, including India. There is an emerging 
sense that the growing defence cooperation between emerging , Washington, and 
New Delhi could well be attributed to the commonality of the ‘China factor’.> > 
The ‘Malabar CY 07-2’ naval exercises in the Bay of Bengal held in the first 
week of September last year, precisely demonstrated this and undeniably 
represented a major shift in India’s strategic security perceptions. The 
exercises were the largest-ever naval exercise in this part of the world, with 
as many as 10 warships and nearly 200 aircrafts from five participating nations 
comprising Australia, Japan, India, the US, and Singapore.> > Besides, in a 
clear departure from the past, it signaled India’s entry into the 
‘quadrilateral initiative’, a new strategic security combine in which New Delhi 
joins as a key member of the security triad of Australia, Japan and the 
US—developments that add on to Beijing’s strategic concern vis-a-vis the 
emerging Asian security paradigm. –INFA> Source: Assam Tribune> > > > > 
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