On Wed November 30 2011, Klaus Knopper wrote:
> Also, flash media ages. Manufacturers only guarantee cells to hold the
> information up to 10 years, so, flash is probably not good for long term
> storage. Well... Similar problem for magnetical or optical storage,
> which make it up to 50 years only. Printed paper lasts much longer. But
> that is a different topic. ;-)
> 

Mostly I agree but would like to add a bit of detail because all too
often people look at tomorrow or next week, not next decade.

Flash media cells are indeed often quoted as having 10 year lifetimes.
I don't have any old enough (yet) to check but one must be careful
of the English language here.  ;-)
Useful lifetime != length of time until a significant error rate
develops among the large group of cells holding your 200Kb novel.

Your flash devices should probably be re-written on a regular
schedule, maybe once every 3 to 5 years.
I have a small handful here, approaching the 3 year power-off point
that I will be testing in a few years from now. Just to check my guess.

Iron oxide films - such as in magnetic tape and flopply disks (quoted
at 10 year retention times) need to be read and re-written at least
every 3 to 5 years if recorded with ECC.
More frequently if not recorded with ECC.

Note: A number of years ago NASA found themselves painted into this
corner.  They had more data recorded on mag tape than was possible
to read and re-write to optical storage in the retention time of
the of the magnetic media.

Opto-magnetic recording media (with ECC) where quoted at 20 years.
I do have some approaching 15 years, power-off.
May need to check those RSN.  ;-)

Optical media (common CD, DVD, single layer - all have embedded ECC)
have often been predicted to have a 50 year lifetime.
But they haven't been around a significant enough portion of that
time for this number to be more than a wild guess.
Personally, I haven't found any errors in mine that are approaching
the 12 year mark.

So far, the winner is (other than physical volume) punched paper;
Either cards or tape on media that was intended for archival storage.
Most of that which I have is approaching 50 years, and those little
holes are still there.  It is nice to be able to see each bit.  ;-)

Right now, if you need long term data storage, your best bet is to
use "archive quality" paper and ink, print in bar-code (or similar)
digital patterns, store in a temperature controlled dry nitrogen 
atmosphere.  You should be able to get 200 to 300 years without 
needing to re-write the data on new media.

- - - -

O.T:
Klaus, this thread reminded my I hadn't tried Knoppix in awhile.
I downloaded 6.7.1 to a DVD yesterday and then flashed to a
UDMA, CF disk - all works great, thank you.

Mike


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