Hi Mike,
Maybe so, but we have plenty of historical evidence as to how long they last
once the El Nina phenonomen is established.
Get ready for more of the same. The Murray Darling Authority has factored in
a 10% reduction in flows for the Murray darling basin. Don't know which
planet they are inhabiting but certainly not ours. Perhaps the authority is
populated by climate change enthusiasts who only see the sign posts pointing
one way. Global warming, which amounts to about .8 of one degree over the
last one hundred years will slowly raise ocean temperatures. The CSIRO has
measured one eighth of a degree increase over the last ten years . As the
oceans warm there will be a masive increase in evaporation and consequent
rain. It only takea about a half a degree change above or below average to
trigger the ENSO effect. Our recent rain over the last twelve months are due
to the Indian Ocean Dipole as much as ENSO,
Harry Medlicott
----- Original Message -----
From: "Mike Borgelt" <[email protected]>
To: "Discussion of issues relating to Soaring in Australia."
<[email protected]>
Sent: Tuesday, January 04, 2011 12:44 PM
Subject: Re: [Aus-soaring] Rescheduled GQ Easter Comp
At 11:21 AM 4/01/2011, you wrote:
As Dave Shorter has assured us, the La Nina will be gone by then,
As nobody knows what causes them or how to forecast them that seems
like a brave prediction.
Mike
Borgelt Instruments - manufacturers of quality soaring instruments since
1978
phone Int'l + 61 746 355784
fax Int'l + 61 746 358796
cellphone Int'l + 61 428 355784
email: [email protected]
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