Dear Deborah,

Very, very interesting.

First of all, I would not assume the Iraqi military will give any serious
resistance to the Bush war machine. But the Kurds, who are the farmers of
northern Iraq, have every expectation of being targeted by the US for the
greater part of the destruction since Turkey is on the US side and mostly
wants to see the Kurds worsted.

Good analysis of the Kurd situation, and informative regarding the claim
that Saddam gassed his own citizens in Kurdestan during the Iran/Iraq war.
I find this information much more plausible--that the gas was an errant
blow from the Iranian side rather than coming from the Iraqi side, since
militarily Iraq had a lot more to lose from gassing those Kurds than not,
and Iran had a lot more to gain since they weren't Iranian sympathisers but
Iraqi farmers. Just another example of deliberate government
misinformation, about on par with claiming Lee Harvey Oswald assassinated
JFK. Say it enough and it passes into the history books as verity.

What I fear is this war has nothing whatever to do with "liberating" Iraq,
though I think that might be a good thing--even though I don't think it
will happen. The US doesn't have a good history of liberating people, as
foreign policy becomes very unpredictable when democrscy rises up and
becomes very predictable when strongman rule occurs. It is not normally the
US agenda to foster unpredictability, simple as that.

But this war of occupation will very certainly provide the US the
springboard for an invasion of Iran, which is not an option without having
a big land army on the borders. That Bush would come to grief in this
business was predicted to me early last October by Glen Atkinson who
pointed out that GW has Pluto on his midheaven in Iraq. This is another way
of saying that in Iraq he has the chance to be the big cheese, but it is
extremely likely to be his utter and complete downfall. Pluto is the planet
of death and rebirth, so hopefully it will teach him some really important,
significant lesson on the soul level. More power to him.

Bedst,
Hugh
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