Dear All  
 

Two  question that is bothering all of us are: 

 

1.       "Where to invest in current market conditions when volatility is the 
order of the day?

2.       What to do of the existing portfolio which is probably down in the 
range of 50 to 70%?

 

 

Answer to Question 1:

 

The good news of the markets and having a wide variety of asset class is that 
in midst of gloom and volatility there are some asset classes which is shining 
right now. Our advice to you is highlighted below:

 

1.       One portion of the cash you are seating on can be invested in Income 
funds. These are the funds which invest in Government of India securities and 
Quality corporate bonds. The traditional wisdom says that when interest rates 
goes down, your returns on fixed income instruments will also go down. But the 
Bond funds and Income Funds returns goes up whenever interest rates goes down 
or the call on interest rate is that it will go down.  Currently the interest 
rates are moving south and are expected to remain soft in the immediate near 
future. There are two risks involved in a bond fund- Interest rate risk and 
Credit quality risk. The interest risk is currently does not exist with the 
call on interest rates on the softer side. The credit risk is reduced/mitigated 
by the fund manager through investments of a large portion of the portfolio in 
Government of India Securities (GSEC) and balance in well rated and researched 
corporate papers. Our view is that there is money to be made in next 6 months 
in this category of portfolio. You can either buy GSEC/ Corporate bonds 
yourself or use the expertise of fund managers through the Mutual fund route. 

 

2.       In case you can lock some amount for a 3 year period, invest in Tax 
Saver Schemes of Mutual Funds.



3.       Despite the volatility, you should continue to invest in Large Cap 
Equity Mutual Funds. 




Answer to Question No.2:

 

The only way we can recover the losses is by staying invested in the existing 
portfolio. Having said that we would recommend you to switch your existing 
investments in MIDCAP oriented mutual funds to large cap funds. Whenever the 
market recovers, it is the large cap which tends to recover faster. You may ask 
that the values are so low, how can we book losses? Though you are withdrawing 
at low levels but you are also entering at lower levels of NAV in large cap 
funds. 

 

INTERESTING DATA ON BSE SENSEX OVER LAST 28 YEARS:

 

2008 YTD  IS THE ONLY YEAR IN LAST 28 YEARS WHICH HAVE GIVEN SO MUCH OF 
NEGATIVE RETURN ON BSE SENSEX. 

 YOU CAN SEE THAT MOST OF THE TIME IN PAST  MARKET HAS REBOUNDED AFTER GIVING 
NEGATIVE  RETURN.   







Over a period of time the fundamentals of our economy will come into play and 
we will see stability and sanity returning to the market. Since none of us know 
when this will happen, the logical wisdom is to invest regularly in the market 
at current levels rather than watch it from sidelines. 

 

Thanking you,

 

 With Best Regards
SHENOY INVESTMENT AND FINANCIAL
CONSULTANTS PRIVATE LIMITED
11-A, KASHI NIKETAN, 2ND ROAD, 
CHEMBUR, MUMBAI - 400 071
 
TEL : 6797 3433 / 2521 2111
EMAIL : [email protected]
              [email protected]

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