The Article is from Down To Earth (Oct 15-31 Edition). It gives an idea of
Flood, Drought and Cyclone Hotspots on our part of the Planet.

Dr.V.N.Sharma



Death at your doorstep

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*Afghanistan, India, Indonesia, Pakistan particularly vulnerable to extreme
weather conditions *

 Flood-risk hotspots occur in Africa, including the Sahel, the Horn of
Africa, Great Lakes region, Central Africa and Southeast Africa; Central,
South and Southeast Asia; and Central America and the western part of South
America

 Drought-risk hotspots are located in sub-Saharan Africa; South Asia,
particularly Afghanistan, Pakistan and parts of India; and South East Asia,
particularly Myanmar, Vietnam and Indonesia

 Cyclone-risk hotspots include Mozambique and Madagascar, Central America,
Bangladesh, several parts of India, Vietnam and other Southeast Asian
countries. As the frequency and intensity of cyclones increases, so will the
number of communities at high risk. This will include communities further
inland that are not used to coping with such disasters

 Areas at risk from more than one climate related disaster include much of
sub- Saharan Africa, especially the east coast, and much of South Asia

 Some areas are at the risk of all three disasters. These include Southeast
Africa and parts of South and Southeast Asia

Human induced climate change magnifies the risk of disasters—avalanches,
extremes of temperature, droughts, floods, landslides, wild fires and wind
storms—everywhere but especially in those parts of the world where there are
already high levels of human vulnerability


 Losses galore

Between 2005 and 2006, natural disasters killed 120,000 people, affected 271
million more and caused economic losses totalling US $250 billion

 In the decade 1984-1993, 1.6 billion people were affected by natural
disasters compared with 2.6 billion in the following decade (1994-2003)

 Disaster cost between 1990 and 1999 was more than 15 times higher ( US $652
billion in material losses) than it was between 1950 and 1959 ( US $38
billion at 1998 values).

 68 per cent of deaths and 89 per cent of all economic losses between 2000
and 2007 resulted from weather-related disasters (Climate change threatens
to dramatically increase both the number of people affected and the scale of
economic damage)


 In the near future

During the next 20-30 year period, we are likely to see:

 The number of people impacted by water scarcity may increase from 1.7
billion in 2000 to around 5 billion by 2025. Climate change will account for
roughly 20 per cent of this growth

 Intensification of the water cycle, tropical cyclones (due to higher sea
surface temperatures) and a polarization of rainfall pattern

 Longer dry periods in many parts of the world

 Increase in the number, intensity and duration of droughts

*Source: *Humanitarian Implications of Climate Change Report—Mapping
emerging trends and risk hotspots (commissioned by CARE International and
the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs)

-- 
Dr.V.N.Sharma
http://canvas.nowpos.com/vnsharma

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