Poll: US-Europe relations need Obama

Alexander BurnsWed Sep 10, 9:26 AM ET

By significant margins, Europeans have high hopes for a potential Obama
administration, according to a Transatlantic Trends poll of 12 European
countries.

Forty-seven percent of Europeans believe an Obama victory in November would
lead to a better relationship between the United States and Europe, versus
just 5 percent who think Obama would weaken the trans-Atlantic relationship.

By comparison, only 11 percent think Sen. John McCain would strengthen
European-American relations if he were elected president. More than half of
respondents said a McCain administration would keep relations between the
United States and Europe in roughly the condition they are now.

The poll, commissioned by the German Marshall Fund and conducted by the firm
TNS Opinion from June 4-28, queried at least a thousand respondents in each
of a dozen countries, including Germany, France, Poland, Slovakia and
Turkey.

The survey's release Wednesday follows the news of a BBC poll, conducted by
the GlobeScan service and published Tuesday, showing that in 17 of 22
nations tested, respondents across the globe expected an Obama win would
improve American relations with the rest of the world.

It also comes on the heels of a report Tuesday that Gordon Brown, the
British prime minister, intends to publish a column praising Obama's
response to the troubled real estate market. In an unorthodox step for a
foreign leader, Brown is expected to argue: "In the electrifying U.S.
Presidential campaign, it is the Democrats who are generating the ideas to
help people through more difficult times."

According to the Transatlantic Trends report, Brown's upbeat assessment of
the Democratic presidential nominee is shared by the majority of his
country: 75 percent of British respondents said they had a favorable or very
favorable opinion of Obama.

Among Europeans more generally, that number was only slightly lower: 69
percent said they had a favorable impression of the Illinois senator.

McCain's favorability ratings are considerably lower, with just 26 percent
of Europeans giving him the thumbs up. He is also significantly less
well-known than Obama: 29 percent of respondents did not render an
up-or-down judgment on the Republican nominee, compared with just 19 percent
who had no impression of Obama.

It is hardly shocking that Obama would be better liked in Europe than his
opponent, given that McCain is a member of the same political party
as President Bush. The president has consistently received dismal poll
ratings from abroad, and in 2004 a GlobeScan survey showed Europeans favored
the election of Sen. John F. Kerry by similarly wide margins — 74 percent to
7 percent in Norway, 74 percent to 10 percent in Germany and 64 percent to 5
percent in France.

It is also no surprise that Europeans would be more familiar with Obama than
with McCain. In late July, Obama toured several European nations as part of
a weeklong trip abroad, giving a speech in Berlin that attracted an audience
in the hundreds of thousands.

Yet even as the Transatlantic Trends poll highlights Obama's popularity in
Europe, it outlines some of the diplomatic hurdles that any American
president will face, regardless of party.

While 80 percent of Americans call it very or somewhat desirable for the
United States to "exert strong leadership in world affairs," just 33 percent
of Europeans say the same. A quarter of European respondents called an
assertive United States "very undesirable."

While a majority of Europeans — 55 percent — said the United States and the
European Union have close enough values to make diplomatic cooperation
possible, they're still less confident about it than Americans, 67 percent
of whom said the United States and the EU could tackle international issues
together.

And some persistent diplomatic disagreements, such as resolution of the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict, also remain: Europeans expressed considerably
less positive feelings about the state of Israel than did Americans.

-- 
"Usually when people are sad, they don't do anything. They just cry over
their condition. But when they get angry, they bring about a change."
- Malcolm X, Malcolm X Speaks, 1965

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