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First Read: The day in politics by NBC News for NBC News
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FIRST THOUGHTS. 
*** Who Shouldn't Be Blamed: Just when you thought there couldn't be any more 
twists and turns in this election year, the House yesterday rejected the Bush 
Administration's $700 billion bailout package and the Dow plummeted. It's hard 
to find any blameless characters in this congressional bailout mess. But is it 
possible what Congress did yesterday was exactly what the voters wanted? The 
voters don't trust this current team in Washington -- or on Wall Street -- to 
do, well, anything. Here are some startling numbers from our last NBC/WSJ poll: 
73% said we're on the wrong track; 65% disapprove of Bush's job; 73% disapprove 
of the job Congress is doing; and only 19% have "a lot" of confidence in the 
federal government, and that's higher than the confidence level the public has 
in corporate America (11%) or the financial industry (10%). So given all these 
polling figures, is it any wonder the public logged so many calls into Congress 
demanding their members vote against this bill? By the way, while many 
(including us) are talking about a crisis in leadership in Washington, it is 
worth noting that a powerful bipartisan coalition against the bailout has come 
from both the left and the right.
  
*** "Lord Of The Flies" Inside The GOP: So who runs the Republican Party? 
Apparently nobody. Perhaps the most startling political development was the 
amazing lack of leadership on the GOP side of the aisle. Let's run down the 
list of Republican leaders who attempted to persuade skeptical House 
Republicans: President Bush, John McCain, Dick Cheney, and John Boehner. (We'd 
add Newt Gingrich to this list, but no one is quite sure if his last-minute 
support was actually cover for his behind the scenes whipping against the 
bill.) Bush's leadership and trust issues within his party has been evidenced 
for quite some time, and the icing on the Bush legacy cake is that fact that he 
could only convince FOUR Texas House Republicans to support his bill. And then 
there's John McCain, who last week decided to insert himself into the process 
and then (before the bailout failed) took credit for getting wavering House 
Republicans on board. Perhaps he did get a few wayward House GOPers on board -- 
but it wasn't enough. Now McCain gets a double stomach punch: He's stuck being 
seen as supportive of this bailout (which isn't exactly popular with the 
conservative grassroots) and he gets to share in the blame for the defeat since 
he didn't have enough political capital to get this done (By the way, not a 
single member of the Arizona GOP delegation voted for this bill). Watching the 
McCain campaign deal with this yesterday, one could sense that they were 
fearful that they were going to look inept and take an even deeper political 
wound than they sustained last week.

*** Democrats Can't Escape Blame: Pelosi missed a huge opportunity to become an 
historic speaker and instead invited comparisons to Tom DeLay by deciding to 
deliver a more partisan speech than necessary at the time. There would have 
been time for partisan politics AFTER the vote, but to do it before seemed like 
a strategic blunder. Pelosi played into the stereotype she had been very adept 
at avoiding most of these last two years. That said, did it really cost any GOP 
votes? Unlikely. But it did give the House GOP leadership a talking point to 
deflect from its own failure. Obama, who as McCain pointed out (probably 
jealously) kept a healthy distance from this process, didn't seem to try and 
exert any influence on some of the "no" votes from the progressive/liberal side 
of the Democratic caucus. A large chunk of those "no" voters were very early 
supporters of Obama during the primary. Would a true campaign by Obama to vote 
for this bill have persuaded another handful of Dems? Possibly. Then again, 
Democrats were never going to jump off this cliff by themselves. Still, what's 
another 12 votes at this point if this legislation is so necessary?

First Read with NBC News Political Director Chuck Todd, every weekday on 
MSNBC-TV at 9 a.m. ET.

For more: The latest edition of First Read is available now at
http://www.FirstRead.MSNBC.com !
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