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--- Begin Message ---
Dear MICHAEL,

We're on the verge of breaking things open.  Our chances have never looked 
better to elect that filibuster-proof Senate majority to help Barack Obama put 
this country back on the right course.

All the polls are breaking our way. As I write this, Democratic candidates are 
leading in no fewer than six races for current Republican seats.  And we're 
seeing a marked trend of our trailing candidates closing the gap in key 
battleground states.

Things are looking so strong that the DC-insider newspaper Roll Call recently 
published the headline "New Senate Polls Show GOP Slipping."  The nonpartisan 
Rothenberg Political Report just upgraded its ranking of four of our races.  
For the first time, they now favor our candidates in Oregon and Colorado.

Our proven campaign strategy is working.   In the last 10 days, the DSCC has 
spent more than $9 million of your money in eight states to air TV ads that 
expose third-party lies and hold Republicans accountable for eight years of 
failure and incompetence.

We have already made more than 2.4 million direct voter contacts in the 
contested states.  That's not even half of what we'll do before Election Day.

We owe our success to dedicated grassroots supporters like you.  We're going to 
spend more and fight harder in these last 30 days than ever before.  We know 
what it takes to win, but we need your support to execute.  

Click here to rush $50, $75, or more to the DSCC immediately.  There are only 
30 days to Election Day, and we're running out of time to rebuke right-wing 
lies and smears.
https://secure.democratsenators.org/o/4/p/5000/contribute?donate_page_KEY=3952&default=50

These last 30 days are not the time to grow complacent.  This is the time to 
press our advantage, campaign harder, and go for the big, sweeping victories.  
As long as we can count on your support, that's exactly what we're going to do.

Keep reading for the latest updates from Senate races nationwide.  You'll see 
all the ways we're pressing our advantage.

Sincerely,
J.B. Poersch

Kentucky: McConnell Race Tied 

First up is the game-changing result from the latest polling data from 
Kentucky.  The Louisville Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll shows Democrat Bruce 
Lunsford locked in an absolute dead heat with Republican minority leader and 
filibusterer-in-chief Mitch McConnell.  

>From the Courier-Journal:

"The poll found that each candidate would get the support of 41 percent of 
likely voters if the election were held today."
 
Winning in Kentucky could be the final component of building a filibuster-proof 
majority, and any time a powerful incumbent like McConnell is polling under 50% 
- way under in this case - we have a terrific opportunity to win.  

This is one of the states where the DSCC's big advantage in campaign resources 
can make a real difference.  You helped us build our advantage, and in over 
these final five weeks, it will pay off.  This poll is just the start of a 
great October.

North Carolina: Looking Bleak for Elizabeth Dole

Things are looking bleak for Republican incumbent Elizabeth Dole.  After all, 
voters typically want to elect somebody who actually lives in their state.

News broke this week that North Carolina was typically nothing more than an 
overnight stopover for Dole before she started running for reelection.  In 
2004, she spent just 34 days in the state.  In 2005, the number was down to 20. 
 And in 2006, Dole spent only 13 days - less than two full weeks - in North 
Carolina.

But you don't have to take our word for it.  We went to Salisbury, NC to talk 
to Dole's neighbors in her so-called hometown.

Click here to watch the video we made in North Carolina.  Salisbury residents 
sure don't think Dole is part of their community.
http://www.dscc.org/stateoftheraces?content_item_KEY=1573#NC

Of course Dole has increased her travel to North Carolina during campaign 
season.  But that hasn't stopped challenger Kay Hagan from riding her momentum 
to a small, but sustained, lead in the latest round of polling.  

And the venerable handicappers at the Cook Political Report have even upgraded 
this race from "Leans Republican" to true "Toss-up" status for the first time 
this cycle.

The DSCC has been airing memorable ads in this race for weeks that highlight 
her ranking as the 93rd most effective senator and one who votes with George 
Bush 92% of the time.  You can be certain that we're going to give Kay Hagan 
all the support she needs to win on Election Day.

Oregon:  Social Security Meltdown

The financial crisis is hitting just about everyone hard.  But think about how 
bad it would be if your Social Security savings were melting down along with 
the rest of Wall Street.

Shockingly, that's exactly the kind of privatization Oregon incumbent Sen. 
Gordon Smith and George Bush endorse.  That's obviously a huge indictment of 
the failed Republican economic policy that got us into this mess.

And because of two new DSCC ads that our grassroots helped pay for, we're 
making sure Oregon voters know all about Smith's plan to privatize Social 
Security.

Click here to watch the DSCC's new ad in Oregon.  We're holding Republican 
incumbent Gordon Smith accountable for supporting Social Security privatization.
http://www.dscc.org/stateoftheraces?content_item_KEY=1573#OR

The whole point of Social Security is to provide security to America's seniors. 
 Gordon Smith seems to have forgotten that, and that's exactly why the DSCC is 
doing everything in our power to help Democrat Jeff Merkley defeat him in 
November.

Alaska: Ted Stevens' Terrible Week

Ted Stevens must realize he's going to have a hard time getting re-elected.  
Jurors were recently selected for his criminal trial on corruption charges, but 
that's not all he has to worry about.

The DSCC is now hammering him in a new TV ad for funneling $500 million in 
government contract money to an aerospace firm that employed Stevens' 
brother-in-law.  

Click here to watch the DSCC's new ad in Alaska.  Stevens' efforts to secure 
pork for a family connection prove that his service isn't about Alaska anymore. 
http://www.dscc.org/stateoftheraces?content_item_KEY=1573#AK

And remember, this latest scandal isn't even the one he's on trial for.  

Democrat Mark Begich is leading Stevens in all the latest polls, and you can be 
certain that the DSCC is ready to keep him there right through Election Day.

Mississippi: Real Simple

The race in Mississippi is real simple.  Do voters there want a leader like 
Democratic Governor Ronnie Musgrove who fought to increase teacher pay?  Or do 
they want Republican incumbent Roger Wicker, a typical politician who voted 
against increasing veteran's benefits but votes nine times in favor of 
increasing his own salary?

We think the choice is clear.  That's why the DSCC began airing two new 
television ads exposing Roger Wicker's history of looking out for himself in 
Washington instead of standing up for the people of Mississippi. 

Click here to watch the DSCC's new ads in Mississippi.  We want voters to know 
Roger Wicker voted to increase his pay nine times, instead of fighting for 
them.  
http://www.dscc.org/stateoftheraces?content_item_KEY=1573#MS

Anyone who votes nine times for a pay raise while ignoring the needs of 
veterans and teachers deserves a pink slip.  With your help, the DSCC and 
Ronnie Musgrove are going to give just that to Roger Wicker.

Third Party Spending

We always say that the DSCC's job is to fight back against the smears and 
distortions leveled against Democratic Senate candidates by right-wing attack 
organizations.

Last week, Roll Call gave us all a stark reminder of what we're up against.  
"All told," the insider's newspaper reported, "conservative groups have poured 
almost $23 million into Senate contests so far this cycle."

Shadowy organizations with Orwellian names like the "American Future Fund" and 
the "Employee Freedom Action Committee" are attacking Democrats in every single 
one of our contested battleground states.  They're stretching the truth and 
lying about our candidates' records.  

It's despicable, but unless we respond, it can work.  That's why the DSCC needs 
your help so our candidates can fight back.

Click here to rush $50, $75, or more to the DSCC immediately.  There are only 
30 days to Election Day, and we're running out of time to rebuke the lies and 
the smears.
https://secure.democratsenators.org/o/4/p/5000/contribute?donate_page_KEY=3952&default=50




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