EUROPE

GROUP ONE
Qualified: Netherlands
Able to make the play-offs: Czech Republic, Romania
Out: Finland, Macedonia, Andorra, Armenia
Important final day games: Finland v Czech Republic

The Czech Republic must win in Finland to overtake Romania, who have the
better head-to-head record should the Finns force a draw.

GROUP TWO
Qualified: Ukraine
Able to make play-offs: Turkey, Greece, Denmark
Out: Albania, Georgia, Kazakhstan
Important final day games: Albania v Turkey, Greece v Georgia, Kazakhstan v
Denmark

Turkey need to win their final group game in Albania to guarantee a place in
the play-offs. Should they draw or lose, then Denmark can overtake them with
a win at whipping boys Kazakhstan. Although mathematically Denmark could
still qualify with a draw, Turkey would need to lose by at least two goals
in Albania. But with the Danes having what should be a comfortable victory
in their sights, Turkey must win.

Although European champions Greece are still mathematically able to qualify,
it would take a startling set of results to see them into the play-offs.
They have to win at home to Georgia, hope Denmark fail to beat Kazakhstan
and Turkey lose in Albania.

GROUP THREE
Qualified: Portugal
Able to make play-offs: Slovakia, Russia
Out: Latvia, Estonia, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg
Important final day games: Slovakia v Russia

It's a battle to the bitter end in Bratislava on Wednesday. Both teams are
level on points but Slovakia have the goal difference and the first game
between the two sides finished as a draw. Therefore, Russia must win or
Slovakia will be in the play-offs.

GROUP FOUR
Able to qualify automatically: Switzerland, Ireland, France
Able to make the play-offs: Israel
Out: Cyprus, Faroe Islands
Important final day games: France v Cyprus, Ireland v Switzerland

This group still has many permutations despite their being only two games
remaining.

Israel: Despite topping the group going into the final day they have only a
small chance of reaching the finals. Either Switzerland or Ireland will
definitely overtake them, meaning only a play-off place is possible. They
can only make the play-offs if France fail to win at home to Cyprus and
there is a draw in Ireland.

Switzerland: If they win in Ireland they could top the group. Switzerland
currently lead France on goal difference with the head-to-head level.
However, France can still pip them but they would need to beat Cyprus in
Paris by a four goal bigger margin than the Swiss win in Dublin to edge in
front on goal difference. A draw will see the Swiss top the group if France
fail to beat Cyprus. Defeat sees the Swiss eliminated.

France: If, as expected, they beat Cyprus, France will be guaranteed a
play-off spot. To win the group they must either outscore a victorious
Switzerland by four goals or hope Ireland get something at home to the
Swiss.

Ireland: Victory is a must at home to Switzerland, which would guarantee a
play-off position. They would also top the group if France failed to beat
Cyprus.

If both games on the final day are drawn, Switzerland will top the group and
Israel will be in the play-offs on the three-team head-to-head mini-league.

GROUP FIVE
Qualified: Italy
In the play-offs: Norway
Out: Slovenia, Belarus, Scotland, Moldova

Norway are guaranteed a place in the play-offs due to their superior
head-to-head record against Slovenia.

GROUP SIX
Qualified: Poland, England
Out: Austria, Northern Ireland, Wales, Azerbaijan

England and Poland are through regardless of the result at Old Trafford as
whichever side finishes second will be guaranteed one of the spots as a
'best runner-up'.

GROUP SEVEN
Able to qualify automatically: Serbia & Montenegro, Spain,
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Out: Belgium, Lithuania, San Marino
Important final day games: San Marino v Spain, Serbia & Montenegro v
Bosnia-Herzegovina

If Serbia win at home to Bosnia they are guaranteed a place at the finals.

Spain have to win in San Marino, and could qualify if the match at the
Stadion Crvena Zvezda finishes as a draw - though Spain must beat San Marino
by at least four goals. Should Spain beat San Marino 4-0 and the Serbia
match be drawn 2-2 then Spain and Serbia will have to play-off on a neutral
ground for top spot. That also applies to the same score by scale (5-1 &
3-3; 6-2 and 4-4). If Spain win 4-0 and the draw is 0-0 or 1-1, Spain will
top the group on goals scored. If Spain win by more than four goals, coupled
with a draw in Belgrade, then Spain will be through on goal difference. The
head-to-head between Serbia and Spain is level.

Bosnia must win in Serbia to be guaranteed a play-off spot - overtaking
Serbia on the head-to-head. They can only top the group if Spain fail to win
in San Marino.

GROUP EIGHT
Qualified: Croatia
In the Play-offs: Sweden
Out: Hungary, Bulgaria, Iceland, Malta
Important final day games: Sweden v Iceland

Croatia are through regardless of the final day results as a 'best
runner-up'. Sweden need a point to qualify - see below.

LUCKY LOSERS

For Groups 1-3, the points against the team which finished 7th are deleted
to make all second placed teams equal on games played.

The Czech Republic's home loss to the Netherlands meant whoever finishes
second in Group Six, either England or Poland, would go to the finals
automatically.

The other automatic place for a runner-up with go to a team either from
Groups One or Eight. The points stand as follows:
. Sweden 21 - goal difference of +24
. Romania 21 (with Armenia finishing bottom) - goal difference of +7
. Romania 19 (with Andorra finishing bottom) - goal difference of +4
. Czech Republic 18 (with Andorra finishing bottom) - goal difference of +9
. Czech Republic 18 (with Armenia finishing bottom) - goal difference of +14

Sweden are effectively assured the place, though need one point at home to
Iceland to be absolutely sure. Even if they do lose, the swing in goal
difference required to thwart Sweden is so great it's barely credible.

Romania, who have finished their qualifying programme, have virtually no
chance of the lucky losers' spot. The Czech Republic must fail to win in
Finland. And they also have to hope Armenia do not win in Andorra or their
points total will drop below that of Sweden. To top it all off, they have to
hope Sweden lose at home to Iceland by 18 goals.

The Czech Republic must win, Sweden must lose and there has to be a goal
difference swing of at least 10.
OCEANIA

Australia cruised past surprise area finalists Soloman Islands 9-1 on
aggregate last month. They will now face the fifth placed nation from South
America for a place in the finals.

SOUTH AMERICA

FULL STANDINGS
Qualified: Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Ecuador
Able to make play-offs: Uruguay, Colombia, Chile
Out: Venezuela, Peru, Bolivia
Important final day games: Chile v Ecuador, Paraguay v Colombia, Uruguay v
Argentina

Uruguay will face a play-off against Australia if they win at home to
Argentina on Wednesday. However, should they fail to win their final fixture
against group leaders Argentina the door is open for both Chile and Colombia
- who are level a point behind Uruguay.

The Colombia-Chile head-to-head is level but Colombia have the advantage
with a goal difference lead of 11. As Chile are behind Uruguay on the
head-to-head, Chile's only hope of making the finals is if they win at home
to Ecuador and both Colombia and Uruguay fail to pick up three points.

Colombia will qualify if they win and Uruguay do not. Colombia, however, do
lead Uruguay on the head-to-head. So if Colombia only draw in Paraguay, they
will make the play-offs if Uruguay and Chile both lose. If Uruguay lose and
Chile draw, Uruguay would go through due to the three-team head-to-head
mini-league. 




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