At 03:05 PM 10/21/00 -0400, Gord Sellar wrote:

>What's the translation for R&D to profit? I mean to ask, do companies tend
>to lay, say, ten R&D projects out hoping that one will deliver a feasibly
>product, and then produce say ten trial products hoping that one will be a
>major winner and then make it all back off that one? How conservative is
>the process, generally?

This depends very much on the company and marketplace.  A startup company 
hopes and prays that its one research project succeeds, obviously.  A 
large, diverse, well-established company would often expect that 
reinvesting perhaps 10 percent of its revenue in R&D will result in enough 
new technology to maintain its market position.  A technology-focused 
company might put a far higher percentage into R&D.

I should note that my company is in the betting-it-all-on-one-thing 
category.  We're a startup, now with about 20 employees.  We've just 
applied for our first patent and I'm the primary inventor, so I certainly 
am in the middle of this.

As a bit of an aside, though an important one, R&D often produces something 
quite different from its original goal.  In fact, I'd argue that in 
technology, where marketing frequently fails is in noticing when 
engineering has invented something that customers want, or in following 
through by packaging inventions in useful ways.  The latter is where 
Microsoft excels -- they get a lot of grief for the fact that they notice 
when others invent something useful and then package it better.  I think 
they deserve grief when they try to de-invent something, as they did with 
Java, but that's another rant.

>...
>
>But I've been thinking is almost the opposite . . . about how the drive to
>profit might impact on the pace and nature of development --  on that kind
>of popularity that Dyson notes. ie.: "If it's a product everyone wants,
>then we'd better keep it secret till we finish it so nobody rips off our
>idea." Why, after all, would a company want to patent a specific gene or
>series, except to prevent others from researching in that area?

These days, I think that relatively few companies are motivated by 
that.  Again, it depends on the company and the market, but patents are 
also motivated by:

* A desire to document to investors that the company has developed unique 
technology.

* A desire to have defensive patents, so that if company X claims you're 
infringing their ridiculously broad patent, you can wave your own 
ridiculously broad patent at their lawyers.  Sorry to be so cynical, but 
that's about how it is on some of these.

>... what I am
>trying to note instead is the losses that we all suffer because of the
>effective slowdown and uncooperativeness in development that seems to be
>the natural product of that kind of setup.

You're driving dead at the center of the spirit of patents here.  The word 
"patent" means "open" because it was designed to be a system in which 
society would be assured of access to all inventions after a temporary 
period during which the inventor could gain from it.  One of the arguments 
against software patents is that the period is too long -- many software 
patents are worthless by the time they expire, so society never gains from 
them.

As for the issues you raised at the end, one could imagine something like 
the compulsory license that exists for music.  Once you publish a piece of 
music, you can't decide who gets to perform it -- anyone who pays the 
royalty is allowed to, in contrast to a patent, where you can pick and 
choose who licenses it.  Such an arrangement for some other kinds of 
intellectual property might make a lot of sense now.

Nick

--
Senior VP Strategic Development, Co-Founder
Opion Inc.

[EMAIL PROTECTED]
(408) 733-7613

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