> You know, if someone had proposed that the US spend
billions of dollars and years of scientific effort to,
I don't know, end global warming, do you think the GOP
... oh, wait, someone already did and the GOP
torpedoed it for "putting too much of the burden on
the US."
>>>>>>>>>

Marginal Cost vs. Marginal Benefit

If I thought that without a cut 30% of the US Carbon
Emissions in the next 10 years we would likely start
losing some of major cities, then I'd consider it.  As
it is, I think that the global warming problem likely
has a much larger timeframe than that, and that the
same marginal benefit to global temperatures can
likely be achieved through much cheaper cuts 10-30
years from now, thanks to advances in technologies.

Then again, if missile defense would require the same
cost as a 30% reduction in US Carbon Emissions over
the next 10 years, I probably wouldn't support missile
defense either.

My rationale for missile defense is this:
Let C = Cost of losing a city roughly the size of say,
Charlotte
Let N = Percent Likelihood of a rogue State acquiring
a nuclear-tipped missile with range to reach the USin
10-20 years.
Let L = Percent Likelihood that said rogue State would

launch said missile at the US.
Let B = Cost of Building Missile Defence in next 10
years.

In my estimation: 
C * N * L > B

Based on C being a couple trillion dollars, B being
$0.5 - $1.0 tril, and N*L being fairly high, for
reasons previous discussed.

Of course, the above equation should also add a term
"X", such that the left-hand side is now (C*N*L) + X,
where X is the cost of the USA of not having a missile
defence once the first rogue state acquires a missle
capable of hitting the US.   (i.e. attempting to build
a missile defence that would render a rogue state's
nuclear weapon would likely be a strong provocation
for that State to use the nuclear weapon before it is
rendered useless.   Thus, the US might be prevented
from building MD while nuclear missiles proliferate to
rogue States around the world - leaving the US
paralyzed.)

JDG


=====
John D. Giorgis
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Takoma Park, MD

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