John D. Giorgis wrote:

> At 09:14 PM 8/28/01 -0700 Doug wrote:
> 
>>I'm really curious as to what "extraordinary events" the Shrub will cite 
>>in order to withdraw.
>>
> 
> If the proliferation of nuclear weapons to Pakistan, India, 


ancient history

> and DPRK 


They _have_ tested a bomb?  We've confirmed that they have the tech?

>(and the likely development of nuclear weapons by Iraq and Iran within 10 years)


Something that might happen doesn't really count as an event of any 
kind.  One wonders, if deterrent was such a wonderful thing during 
the cold war, why it is so inadequate now?

So why is Bush pushing Star Wars?  My guesses:

1. Defense industry welfare/maintenance of a healthy defense 
industry - If we don't maintain the flow of money to these 
companies, they will wither as we have seen them do over the last 
decade.

2. Maintenance of forward progress in defense technology (closely 
related to 1.)  If we don't continue to innovate, we will lose our edge.

3.  A missile defense system would be ineffective as proposed, but 
if tipped with nuke warheads they might well be very effective. 
Just the EMF (?) from a nuclear explosion would probably knock out 
the guidance systems of ballistic missiles within many km.  Nobody 
can talk about this of course because practically everyone on the 
planet would throw a fit if that's what we said we were going to do.

Please note that the above are only guesses based on speculation.

-- 
Doug

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