----- Original Message -----
From: "J.D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Brin-L" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Friday, April 19, 2002 8:38 AM
Subject: Venezuela


> Lately people have been making good sport of bashing
> America's conduct during the recent Venezuelan coup -
> including a recent message from Brett Coster.  The
> bashing centers around the following charge - that
> America supported coup against a "democratically
> elected" leader.

I think this situation is more complicated than either you or Brett have
indicated.  As far as I can tell, while there are certainly indications that
Chavez acted illegally in the week before the military arrested him, I don't
think that you really have the right to put quotes around democratically
elected.

>From what I can gleam, he won a clear  majority of the popular vote in the
last election.  His term has not yet expired.  He had not dissolved the
National Assembly or dismissed the Supreme Court as had Carmona in his few
brief days of power after Chavez was arrested.  He had not shut down
opposing newspaper, although he bent the law allowing him to go on national
television for state announcements all out of proportion.

Now, having said that, its amazing that he is out of jail and able to stand
for elections.  He did attempt a coup himself back in 1990.  His supporters
do use strong arm tactics.  But, a week before his arrest, there was no
reason to not consider him totally legitimate.

However, while legitimate, he was loosing popularity.  He was totally unable
to keep his campaign promises, and the country was faring poorly under his
leadership.  So, there was a general strike. Up to this point, that's normal
democratic politics.

Then, his response was out of line.  He seized control of the media, and had
his supporters attack a demonstration against his rule.  The press was
unable to report on the actions. At this point, after the military was
ordered to file on a political demonstration, a number of officers revolted
and arrested him.
A week before his arrest, there was no reason to consider him anything but a
democratically elected leader.

Here things get very dicey and open to interpretation.  It wasn't a classic
coup, because the sequence of events was initiated by clearly illegal
actions by Chavez.  On the other hand, the military is probably not the
constitutional body to counter illegal acts by the president.  Still, on the
other hand, Chavez utilized soldiers loyal to him personally to interfere
with the constitutional process.



> Unfortunately, it hardly appears that Chavez merits
> the title of "democrat" - even if this former coup
> leader *originally* secured power through the ballot
> box.




>After all, was not Adolf Hitler democratically elected?

>And if the America-bashers wish to charge us
> with supporting a regime change of *that*
> democratically elected leader, I proudly plead
> *guilty!*

First of all, I think you need not follow the example of Jeroen of
gratuitously bringing Nazis into  discussions.  But since you did, let me
ask you a question. Do you think that the United States has a
right/obligation to overrule the people of a country when we think/know they
made a mistake?  How important is the right of self determination?  When
should the United States support a coup to overturn a democratically elected
government?

It is clear that we have a right to oppose the actions of a democratically
elected government when they invade another country.  And, going back to the
Nazi example, if they actually stood for election and won (remember Gautam's
point that  they would probably have won a free election until it was clear
that Germany was losing WWII in '43 or so), we would be justified in
interfering when they started to impose the final solution.

However, I think supporting the overthrow of a democratically elected
government should be reserved for those rare occurrences when a democracy is
about to do something as horrid as a Final Solution.
>
> Personally, I find it funny that these people
> criticized America for supporting despotic leaders
> during the Cold War, but when we wink and nod at the
> demise of a despot - well, we get bashed for that too.

When a democratically elected leader is deposed through extra-constitutional
means, then the United States needs to be sure its hands are extra clean.
It needs to be very careful in its public statements that it is mainly
interested in the forestalling of the turning of the democracy in Venezuela
into an autocracy.  It also needs to be sure that it has absolutely no
connection to the actions of the military.  Unfortunately, the Bush
administration fell on its face.  It looked extremely gleeful that the new
government was changing policies to those more in line with the goals of the
administration.

This blew up in the face of the US when the interim leader decided to seize
power for himself.

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-000027733apr18.story?coll=l
a%2Dheadlines%2Dworld


It seems to me that the US hoped/expected that Chavez would be tried for the
killings and violating the constitution, and that the actions of the
military would be seen as justified.  With the rest of the government
continuing to function and a quick election of a new president, there would
be a peaceful transition to a new elected president from Chavez, who
appeared to be in the process of turning the government into an autocracy.
Instead, the US found itself backing a regime that did far more to undo the
democracy in Venezuela (which is one of the oldest in South America) than
Chavez did.  Before the US could clearly register its displeasure, Chavez
was back.


Now, let me go on to Brett directly:

> John, what group was behind the coup? Democrats?

First of all, let me ask you:  Were the actions of Chavez in the week before
the election the actions of someone who was ruling in line with the
constitution?  Every indication was that his government was in severe danger
of falling, by normal constitutional methods.  He seized control of the
media and his supporters fired on demonstrations.

>No, it was the generals and  the ultra rich. Sound familiar?

How in the world could the generals and ultra rich have a meaningful general
strike all on their own?  I mean, so what if they went on strike, who would
notice? If it was a right wing elected government, say Marcos,  that seized
control of the media and shot at a political demonstration, what should the
United States have done.  I bring this up because the US also supported the
military of the Philippians when they refused unlawful orders of
Marcos...who was the elected president at the time.  That action was hailed
by the world as pro-democratic.

> Let's see now, what was the first act of the plotters? Oh yes, suspend the
> constitution and close the parliament. This was a coup for democracy? No.

As the web site I quoted above indicates, the generals dropped their support
of  Carmona very quickly after he undertook these actions.  Pro-Chavez
demonstrations probably had something to do with it. But, it also was
associated with Camona grabbing more power than intended.  I would guess
that the politics were very complicated.

Let me give a parallel with the United States.  Suppose, during Watergate,
there were mass protests and military units with personal loyalty to Nixon
fired on the crowd, and CBS, ABC, and NBC were seized by other units loyal
to Nixon.  Would the Joint Chief of Staffs be justified or unjustified in
arresting Nixon?

In short, I am a bit bothered with both John's and Brett's positions.  John
seems to indicate that the US can and should support the overthrow of bad
democratic governments.  Brett seems to paint the actions in Venezuela as a
typical right wing coup against a democratically elected government.
Neither seem accurate to me.

Dan M.






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