----- Original Message -----
From: "Julia Thompson" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Brin-L" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 10:24 PM
Subject: Re: Homeowners Associations - Dictatorships in the US?


> Dan Minette wrote:
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Julia Thompson" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> > To: "Brin-L" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> > Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 7:48 PM
> > Subject: Re: Homeowners Associations - Dictatorships in the US?
> >
> >   We're a lot more worried about an F5 tornado hitting our
> > > house.)
> >
> > I think that you are more likely to be killed by a giant asteroid than
by an
> > F5 tornado. :-)
>
> Well, a giant asteroid hasn't hit Williamson County the whole time I've
> been living here, whereas a chunk of Jarrell was levelled in 1997,
> houses stripped off their foundations in some places; the only survivors
> in those areas were underground, so we took steps to maximize our
> chances of survival in *that* event.

No hard feelings, but there is a bit of an error analyzing those
probabilities.  Yes, a F5 death did occure in your county, but you really
need to look at the probability for the area, not just your county.  Yes,
Austin has decently high probabilities, but they aren't all _that_ high.
I'd guess the chance of dying in any given year is around 1 in 10^7.  I
don't sweat those type of numbers.



Dan M.

(If the foundation is picked up,
> we're probably toast, but short of that, anyone in the storm shelter
> should be OK.)
>
> Julia
>
> worrying about the risks she can do something about
>

Reply via email to