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The Hazards of Watching Fox News

By Jim Lobe, Inter Press Service
October 3, 2003

The more commercial television news you watch, the more wrong you are
likely to be about key elements of the Iraq War and its aftermath,
according to a major new study released in Washington this week. 


And the more you watch the Rupert Murdoch-owned Fox News channel, in
particular, the more likely it is that your perceptions about the war are
wrong, adds the report by the University of Maryland's Program on
International Policy Attitudes (PIPA). 


Based on several nationwide surveys it conducted with California-based
Knowledge Networks since June, as well as the results of other polls,
PIPA found that 48 percent of the public believe US troops found evidence
of close pre-war links between Iraq and the al-Qaeda terrorist group; 22
percent thought troops found weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in Iraq;
and 25 percent believed that world public opinion favored Washington's
going to war with Iraq. All three are misperceptions. 


The report, "Misperceptions, the Media and the Iraq War," also found that
the more misperceptions held by the respondent, the more likely it was
that s/he both supported the war and depended on commercial television
for news about it. 


The study is likely to stoke a growing public and professional debate
over why mainstream news media - especially the broadcast media - were
not more skeptical about the Bush administration's pre-war claims,
particularly regarding Saddam Hussein's WMD stockpiles and ties with
al-Qaeda. 

"This is a dangerously revealing study," said Marvin Kalb, a former
television correspondent and a senior fellow of the Shorenstein Center on
the Press, Politics and Public Policy at the Kennedy School of Government
at Harvard University. 


While Kalb said he had some reservations about the specificity of the
questions directed at the respondents, he noted that, "People who have
had a strong belief that there is an unholy alliance between politics and
the press now have more evidence." Fox, in particular, has been accused
of pursuing a chauvinistic agenda in its news coverage despite its motto,
"We report, you decide." 

Overall, according to PIPA, 60 percent of the people surveyed held at
least one of the three misperceptions through September. Thirty percent
of respondents had none of those misperceptions. 


Surprisingly, the percentage of people holding the misperceptions rose
slightly over the last three months. In July, for example, polls found
that 45 percent of the public believed U.S. forces had found "clear
evidence in Iraq that Hussein was working closely with al Qaeda." In
September, 49 percent believed that. 


Likewise, those who believed troops had found WMD in Iraq jumped from 21
percent in July to 24 percent in September. One in five respondents said
they believed that Iraq had actually used chemical or biological weapons
during the war. 


In determining what factors could create the misperceptions, PIPA
considered a number of variables in the data. 


It found a high correlation between respondents with the most
misperceptions and their support for the decision to go to war. Only 23
percent of those who held none of the three misperceptions supported the
war, while 53 percent who held one misperception did so. Of those who
believe that both WMDs and evidence of al-Qaeda ties have been found in
Iraq and that world opinion backed the United States, a whopping 86
percent said they supported war. 


More specifically, among those who believed that Washington had found
clear evidence of close ties between Hussein and al-Qaeda, two-thirds
held the view that going to war was the best thing to do. Only 29 percent
felt that way among those who did not believe that such evidence had been
found. 


Another factor that correlated closely with misperceptions about the war
was party affiliation, with Republicans substantially "more likely" to
hold misperceptions than Democrats. But support for Bush himself as
expressed by whether or not the respondent said s/he intended to vote for
him in 2004 appeared to be an even more critical factor. 


The average frequency of misperceptions among respondents who planned to
vote for Bush was 45 percent, while among those who plan to vote for a
hypothetical Democrat candidate, the frequency averaged only 17 percent.
Asked "Has the US found clear evidence Saddam Hussein was working closely
with al Qaeda?" 68 percent of Bush supporters replied affirmatively. By
contrast, two of every three Democrat-backers said no. 


But news sources also accounted for major differences in misperceptions,
according to PIPA, which asked more than 3,300 respondents since May
where they "tended to get most of [their] news.'' Eighty percent
identified broadcast media, while 19 percent cited print media. 

Among those who said broadcast media, 30 percent said two or more
networks; 18 percent, Fox News; 16 percent, CNN; 24 percent, the three
big networks � NBC (14 percent), ABC (11 percent), CBS (9 percent); and
three percent, the two public networks, National Public Radio (NPR) and
Public Broadcasting Service (PBS). 


For each of the three misperceptions, the study found enormous
differences between the viewers of Fox, who held the most misperceptions,
and NPR/PBS, who held the fewest by far. Eighty percent of Fox viewers
were found to hold at least one misperception, compared to 23 percent of
NPR/PBS consumers. All the other media fell in between. 


CBS ranked right behind Fox with a 71 percent score, while CNN and NBC
tied as the best-performing commercial broadcast audience at 55 percent.
Forty-seven percent of print media readers held at least one
misperception. 


As to the number of misconceptions held by their audiences, Fox far
outscored all of its rivals. A whopping 45 percent of its viewers
believed all three misperceptions, while the other commercial networks
scored between 12 percent and 16 percent. Only nine percent of readers
believed all three, while only four percent of the NPR/PBS audience did. 


PIPA found that political affiliation and news source also compound one
another. Thus, 78 percent of Bush supporters who watch Fox News said they
thought the United States had found evidence of a direct link to
al-Qaeda, while 50 percent of Bush supporters who rely on NPR/PBS thought
so. 


Conversely, 48 percent of Fox viewers who said they would support a
Democrat believed that such evidence had been found. But none of the
Democrat-backers who relied on NPR/PBS believed it. The study also
debunked the notion that misperceptions were due mainly to the lack of
exposure to news. 


Among Bush supporters, those who said they follow the news "very
closely", were found more likely to hold misperceptions. Those Bush
supporters, on the other hand, who say they follow the news "somewhat
closely" or "not closely at all" held fewer misperceptions. Conversely,
those Democratic supporters who said they did not follow the news very
closely were found to be twice as likely to hold misperceptions as those
who said they did, according to PIPA. 


Jim Lobe writes for the Inter Press Service, AlterNet.org, TomPaine.com,
and Foreign Policy in Focus.

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