http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story2&cid=624&u=/ap/20040321/ap_on_sc/climate_record_co2_4&printer=1


Carbon dioxide, the gas largely blamed for global warming, has reached
record-high levels in the atmosphere after growing at an accelerated
pace in the past year, say scientists monitoring the sky from this
2-mile-high station atop a Hawaiian volcano.


The reason for the faster buildup of the most important "greenhouse
gas" will require further analysis, the U.S. government experts say.


"But the big picture is that CO2 is continuing to go up," said Russell
Schnell, deputy director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration's climate monitoring laboratory in Boulder, Colo.,
which operates the Mauna Loa Observatory on the island of Hawaii.


Carbon dioxide, mostly from burning of coal, gasoline and other fossil
fuels, traps heat that otherwise would radiate into space. Global
temperatures increased by about 1 degree Fahrenheit (0.6 degrees
Celsius) during the 20th century, and international panels of
scientists sponsored by world governments have concluded that most of
the warming probably was due to greenhouse gases.


The climatologists forecast continued temperature rises that will
disrupt the climate, cause seas to rise and lead to other
unpredictable consequences — unpredictable in part because of
uncertainties in computer modeling of future climate.


Before the industrial age and extensive use of fossil fuels, the
concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere stood at about 280
parts per million, scientists have determined.


Average readings at the 11,141-foot Mauna Loa Observatory, where
carbon dioxide density peaks each northern winter, hovered around 379
parts per million on Friday, compared with about 376 a year ago.


That year-to-year increase of about 3 parts per million is
considerably higher than the average annual increase of 1.8 parts per
million over the past decade, and markedly more accelerated than the
1-part-per-million annual increase recorded a half-century ago, when
observations were first made here.


Asked to explain the stepped-up rate, climatologists were cautious,
saying data needed to be further evaluated. But Asia immediately
sprang to mind.


"China is taking off economically and burning a lot of fuel. India,
too," said Pieter Tans, a prominent carbon-cycle expert at NOAA's
Boulder lab.


Another leading climatologist, Ralph Keeling, whose father, Charles D.
Keeling, developed methods for measuring carbon dioxide, noted that
the rate "does fluctuate up and down a bit," and said it was too early
to reach conclusions. But he added: "People are worried about
`feedbacks.' We are moving into a warmer world."


He explained that warming itself releases carbon dioxide from the
ocean and soil. By raising the gas's level in the atmosphere, that in
turn could increase warming, in a "positive feedback," said Keeling,
of San Diego's Scripps Institution of Oceanography.


The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projects that, if
unchecked, atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations by 2100 will
range from 650 to 970 parts per million. As a result, the panel
estimates, average global temperature would probably rise by 1.4 to
5.8 degrees Celsius (2.7 and 10.4 degrees Fahrenheit) between 1990 and
2100.


The 1997 Kyoto Protocol would oblige ratifying countries to reduce
carbon dioxide emissions according to set schedules, to minimize
potential global warming. The pact has not taken effect, however.


The United States, the world's biggest carbon dioxide emitter, signed
the agreement but did not ratify it, and the Bush administration has
since withdrawn U.S. support, calling instead for voluntary emission
reductions by U.S. industry and more scientific research into climate
change.



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