----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Erik Reuter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Thursday, March 25, 2004 4:44 AM
Subject: Re: Household vs. payroll employment


> On Wed, Mar 24, 2004 at 10:59:32PM -0600, Dan Minette wrote:
>
> > worth thinking about any catagories is why they would change enough
> > in 4 years to account for the differences.  The biggest factor is
> > the population control, so that is one good reason to focus on that
> > factor.  For example, why would the worker classification errors show
> > a ~3 million shift towards reporting self employed as payroll employed
> > between 2001 and 2004?
>
> Where did the 3 million number come from?
Box 2 on page 6, difference from March, 2001-Feb, 2004 shows a difference
of 2.8 million.  I called it ~3 million because I didn't want to convey the
impression that I was dealing with numbers that were known precisely to +/-
0.05 million.

Looking at the document you cited again, I should probably have used box 3
on page 7 instead of box 2.  That makes the difference ~2.5 million, not
~3.

>Are you looking at the revised data from BLS?

To be exact, I'm looking at the smoothed revised data in that table. But,
comparing the revised to the non-revised between March, 2001 and Dec,2003
(the closest I could get to an exact comparison from the tables on pp. 11 &
12,  one sees a minimal difference of only 200k or so in the two calculated
numbers.

Dan M.


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