----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Kevin Tarr" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Thursday, June 03, 2004 10:53 PM
Subject: Re: 'Liberal Media Bias'


> This is as idiotic as Dan's theory (from the NYT) that you can compare a
> rebuilding effort on a per capita basis, ignoring the 4x difference in
> population and 25x difference in land area.

My theory is idiotic?  Hmm, for that strong of a statement to be true, I
must not just hold a reasonble but false view; I must not just hold an
unreasonable view; I must hold a view that is so unreasonable that anyone
with even a modicum of intelligence would reject it. So, how do you compare
rebuilding efforts in terms of effect?  Why shouldn't costs of
accomplishing X amount of rebuilding scale as per capita.  Yes, there might
be a bit of ecconomics of scale, but you certainly wouldn't expect the
costs to build schools for a population of 28 million to be roughly the
same as that for a population of 3 million. You'd expect it to be, roughly,
9x as much.

You also mentioned area.  It seems reasonable to me that some costs scale
as area.  For example, roads per capita in Alaska are more expensive than
they are in Rhode Island. But, with Afganistan being more sparsly settled
than the Balkans, that would argue for a higher, not a lower per capita
expenditure.

The only think that would make sense is the arguement that the US can't
afford the money to do the job right.  Well, if that is true, it certainly
cannot afford the money to handle Iraq.  We've aready spent hundreds of
billions there; and yet we claim poverty when thinking about a few
billion/year investment?

Its always possible, of course, that I am missing the obvious.  So, if
someone can point out why it is idiotic to think that the costs of
rebuilding Afganistan can reasonably be expressed as a per capital cost;
I'd be very much oblidged.  In would be very helpful to point out why ~$75
per person per year is more than enough of an investment.  I would also
very much apprecate knowing why the much greater investment of the drug
cartel in Afganistan does not give them unwanted influence.

Dan M.


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