Dan said:

> One thing that I have been writing about, perhaps with less clarity
> than I would like, is the difference between something being
> reducible to observations and being consistent with observations.
>  Another is whether one can define values like right and wrong or
> good and evil in terms of phenomenon.

I think that in this post you aren't being as clear as you might have
been. I would use "reducible" not in the sense of something being
"reducible to observations" (whatever that might mean) but in terms of
one theory or explanation being reducible to another. By this, I would
mean that the predictions of the more fundamental theory can be used to
produce the predictions of the less fundamental theory as a subset of
its own predictions (at least in principle) or, which is almost the
same thing, that the rules of the less fundamental theory can be
derived from those of the more fundamental theory.

Later, you somewhat conflate the relationships between:

- two theories (your QED/chemistry example)

- sets of states and a theory (the first part of your meteorology
example)

- an earlier state and a later state obeying the rules of a theory (the
second part of your meteorology example)

This conflation is most obvious in the paragraph on evolution and good
and evil. Your prior argument about the weather comes down to there
being no constraints on states in fluid mechanics that prevent the ( H
& �S ) or ( �H & S ) states from being valid, but "good" and "evil" are
more akin to theories than they are to states - they are, at least,
interpretations of features of a history joining sets of states (or sets
of such histories).

Most especially, at the end of your message it would be better to talk
about higher level theories being derivable from, inconsistent with or
consistent with lower level theories.

As an aside, you wrote:

> Further, while the computational requirements for complex chemical
> reactions are significant, the complications are more linear than
> exponential.

Isn't it the case that the complexity of solving the equations
multi-particle quantum mechanics increases exponentially in the number
of particles?

In any case, these are merely quibbles: I'm grateful to you for writing
these thought-provoking and generally carefully reasoned posts. Will
there be an article in the series on causation?

Rich

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