----- Original Message ----- 
From: "John D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Sunday, September 26, 2004 12:17 PM
Subject: Productivity Re: Br!n: some thoughts and quotes.


> At 06:19 PM 9/18/2004 -0500 Dan Minette wrote:
> > We also need to determine
> >why the job growth since the mid-70s has slowed so much, even though the
> >productivity growth has been about the same as between 1960-75.
>
> Off the top of my head, this doesn't seem right.   I know that jobs have
> increased greatly since the early 1970's as we have increased our female
> labor force participation rate.

Let me give a few numbers.  In the 15 years from the first quarter of '60
to the first quarter of '75, jobs increased by 41.4%.  Over the last 15
years of data that I had (last data point Q3, 2003), jobs increased by
22.0%.  The numbers come from the BLS, so I know they are _very_ good. :-)
If you go from Q1, 1980 to Q3, 2003, you you would find an increase of only
43.0%, over alsmot 24 years, compared to the 41.4% increase over 15 years.

I sincerely tried not to cherry pick years, but tried to compare about what
I said.  I admit that I referenced data I gathered a few months ago, I can
get the last few months data if you think it will change things greatly.
I'm pretty sure it wouldn't.

Dan M.

> I think the latter is one of the secrets to Wal-Marts success - hire
> retirees with Medicare and you don't have to pay them insurance.

Medicare supplemental insurance would be nice, but is costly.  90% of my
dad's pension goes to pay this insurance cost (around $650/month for my mom
and dad).

Dan M.


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