At 05:04 PM 10/11/2004 -0500 Dan Minette wrote:
>> For example, if one assigns all of the States on the basis of the 2000
>> Presidential vote, and divides 2003 population by 2004 electoral votes,
>you
>> get:
>> 461,913 Blue Staters per Electoral Vote
>> 453,567 Red Staters per Electoral Vote
>
>If one does something just slightly different, one sees a more significant
>difference. Look at the states where the difference in the popular vote is
>> 5%. There are 20 states with 200 electoral votes for Bush, and 15 states
>with 200 electoral votes for Gore. This leaves 141 votes in the "swing
>states".
>
>In the Bush states, there are 494k voters per electoral vote, while in the
>Gore states, there are 550k. This is a much more significant difference.
>
>I didn't cherry pick 5% either. I tried 10%, but that left too many "swing
>state" votes. Even so, the same trend was there.
>
>Again, using your analysis for 2004, one gets similar results.
Actually, if you use my analysis for 2004, and only exclude the final group
of swing States, you get:
456,997 per EV in Democratic States, and
447,490 per EV in Republican States.
So, does that mean you were cherry-picking my 2004 analysis? ;-)
Even better, if you allocate those battlegrounds as follows: PA and NH to
the Democrats, and FL, OH, WI, IA, NV, and NM to the Republicans - an
extremely possible outcome, you get:
456,809 per EV in Democratic States, and
457,120 per EV in Republican States
Overall, I find it very difficult to believe that the Electoral College is
atrociously weighted towards the Republicans.
JDG
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John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
"The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world,
it is God's gift to humanity." - George W. Bush 1/29/03
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