At 11:18 AM 10/4/2004 -0500 Dan Minette wrote:
>It's now a bit over 72 hours, and the results seem to be that Kerry has
>pulled from about 6 points down into a tie.
I'm very curious as to what tonight's ABC News/Wash Post will show for that
reason. I don't put much stock in the Time or Newsweek polls that were
out this weekend, and the Gallup poll - while one of the best the week
before an election, is notorious for its exaggerated swings in the leadup
months. Time and Newsweek polls, which have to poll earlier due to their
publication schedules, also were the only ones to show a "bounce" following
the Democratic National Convention. In other words, all the polls we have
seen so far use methodologies that tend to produce swing, so these results
are hardly unexpected. While Rasmussen showed Bush +3, I don't put much
stock in that poll either, as the robot-calling method remains untested.
Unfortunately tonights ABC/Wash Post poll is a tracking poll, so isn't
necessarily comparable to their earlier results. I'm still very
interested, just since there isn't much else to go on.
JDG
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John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
"The liberty we prize is not America's gift to the world,
it is God's gift to humanity." - George W. Bush 1/29/03
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