----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Doug Pensinger" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 10:32 PM
Subject: Re: Brin: Purple America


> On Sat, 6 Nov 2004 17:49:10 -0800 (PST), Gautam Mukunda
> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> > Since we've heard a lot about "Red States" and "Blue
> > States" I thought posting a link to this graphic would
> > be interesting.  I'd been planning on making it
> > myself, but luckily someone much better at computers
> > beat me to it.  Robert Vanderbei created a map of the
> > US shaded down to the county level and shades each
> > county according to the vote shares.  Note just how
> > purple the country looks.
> >
> > http://www.kieranhealy.org/files/misc/purple_america_2004_small.gif
>
> Interesting.  So do you think we have the numbers we need to win the
> peace?  The war is becoming very unpopular in the UK, what if they pull
> out?  I guess what I'm asking is how do we win this thing?  Does anyone
> really believe that they'll hold elections in January and support for the
> insurgency will dry up and they'll go away?  It sure as hell didn't work
> in Viet Nam.

You know that I also think there is more downside than upside in Iraq, and
I do appreciate the 10k or so troops that the British have in Iraq, but
from a military standpoint, we didn't get much help in Gulf War I or
II....so that going it with just the British will have practically no
effect.  If they leave, we'll have to up troop levels 10% or so.

But, with 1.4 million active duty personnel, that 10k is only a problem
because of the normal rules of rotation and the fact that we still are a
bit oversized in places like Germany.  So, replacing Britain's 10k wouldn't
be trivial, but it shouldn't have a major impact on what we do.

Realistically, Western Europe needed a leadership in commitment by the US
match up well against Slovenia.  Gautam or Damon can correct me, but I
think that Europe has effectively decided (with the exception of GB and
Russia) to effectively not be military powers.

Dan M.


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