--- Martin Lewis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
>  The Slate article you link to describes clustering
> as a "time-honored
> technique for many epidemiological studies". How
> does this make it
> extremely bad? There are difficulties with using
> clustering but this
> doesn't mean it is obviously wrong which is what Dan
> asked.

It's extremely bad because warfare is not
epidemiology.  Casualties are not randomly distributed
through Iraq - which is the assumption you would have
to make to use clustering the way they used it.

Apart from which, a moment's thought and a basic
knowledge of military history would reveal that the
report's estimate is absurd.  The _nuclear bombing of
Hiroshima_ killed 66,000 people.  That involved the
obliteration of an entire city.  The report suggests
that _100,000_ people were killed.  If US forces were
_trying_ to kill that many people they'd probably have
real difficulty doing it.  It would certainly have
been reported by the literally thousands of
journalists floating around Iraq.  It would take an
enormous, dedicated effort to kill that many
civilians.  It's not something that could happen by
accident.  It's _certainly_ not something that could
happen without being reported on.  Dismissals of the
report's methodology are all over the web.  It's a
joke.  It's only plausible if you really, really want
to believe that American soldiers are genocidal mass murderers.

=====
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com


                
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