On Wed, Nov 17, 2004 at 01:40:21AM -0600, Gary Denton wrote:
> There is a better relationship to states who pay more in taxes than
> they receive in Benefits (for Kerry) and the those freeloading welfare
> Bush states.
> 
> http://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2004/09/red_states_feed.html


That isn't a strong correlation, but it is the only one posted so far
that has an unambiguous trend.

I calculated a linear coefficient of correlation of r=+0.25 for the 2004
Bush margin of victory over Kerry vs. Federal expenditures per dollar of
taxes, and r=+0.26 in 2000 Bush/Gore. (Roughly, that means that about
25% of the variation in the Bush margin of victory is explained, and 75%
is unexplained, by the federal expenditures per dollar of tax)

Here's a scatter plot:

  http://erikreuter.net/pub/vote4.png




-- 
Erik Reuter   http://www.erikreuter.net/
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