Dan wrote-
>Well, what option would you have had him choose? I agree with Gautam that
>the options with N. Korea are bad and worse.
>(snip)
>Anyways, which choice would you have suggested for Clinton?  Do you see a
>fourth choice?

>From my limited understanding of N. Korea, I don't think any 
president can make "winning decisions" alone.  When I heard 
things were getting "ugly" again in Korea I contacted people 
that have been there on several occasions and the response 
was almost cavalier... "it is winter, the N. Koreans need food 
and they will play whatever card they need to for food, then 
change their mind on their commitment later when it is warmer 
so they can threaten again next year".   Behaviorally it
is a model that has worked for years.  

I think the current model of multilateral talks is about
the best we are could hope for- the countries that
have been unavoidably caught up in this cycle can
help prevent one group getting played off the other.  
I was pretty impressed with Bush and Co (and 
whatever may have gone on behind the scenes 
with China, etc)- N. Korea jumped up and down
and had their tantrum and all the other countries
seemed to hold together better than previously.  

Do I think we can put the nuclear cat back in the
bag... no, but I think there "has to be progress" in
the area and this winter was a start in making
N. Korea stay at the multilateral table.  Most
of the neighboring countries have had as much
incentive "not to reunite" N. and S. Korea....
but the stakes keep going up. China likes
having a buffer to keep info contained, S.
Korea is afraid of too many people flooding
the economy if there is reunification, etc.

I would be interested in George's opinion on this.  

Dee

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