Doug Pensinger <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote

    Beyond that, I'd bet another Doug Nickle that Bush insiders had a
    good idea that if there were any WMDs in Iraq they were few and
    far between because they were directing the inspectors where to go
    and what to look for ...

(I read the comment that "I'd bet another Doug Nickle" as suggesting
that you weakly believe the proposition.)

You may be presuming too high a level of competence or honesty, even
for a weakly held notion.

Please remember my posting of Sat, 31 May 2003:

    ... today's BBC news, 2003 May 31

        http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/low/world/americas/2951440.stm

    says the following:

        The Pentagon has a list of around 900 sites which may provide
        clues to Saddam Hussein's alleged chemical and biological
        arsenal. So far, around 200 locations have been searched, said
        Pentagon officials on Friday.

    ...  Most likely most of those 700 locations will be empty or
    clueless.  ...

    But suppose one of those sites contained enough weaponized anthrax
    to fill a Johnson Baby powder container like those that that many
    grown up travelers carry?  What if someone who is unfriendly to
    the US and has the right contacts gets hold of it before a US Army
    team comes by?

    It may be that none of those 700 uninvestigated sites have or had
    anything dangerous in them.  But the question is what proof can
    you offer *now* that no one hostile to the US has visited any of
    those sites in the past 6 weeks, and taken something small?

As I said in another message, 

    ... There are three possible explanations:

      * the Administration knew that Saddam Hussein was bluffing ...

        This possibility suggests that Bush lied.  It also suggests
        that the Bush Administration was incompetent at lying, since
        it would make more sense for it to act surprised when later
        inspectors found little.

      * the Administration recognized that its prime hold on the US
        comes from fear ... By giving looters a chance, it increased
        the risk that terrorists will gain powerful weapons. ...

        This possibility requires great cynicism.

      * the Administration was simply incompetent, and did not send
        enough soldiers to check out sites before looters came.

        This possibility requires believing that politicians who
        increased their party's vote in an off-year election could not
        apply that same talent to managing a politically important
        part of their years in office.

My postings have not been answered, except by Gautam Mukunda and John
D. Giorgis.

Gautam Mukunda said

    ... the US has more urgent/important things to do ...

which suggests that he figured (probabilitistically speaking) that
Bush adminstration knew that Saddam Hussein was bluffing, that Saddam
did not possess dangerous weapons, and that therefore the Bush
adminstration was lying about what is generally considered a national
rather than a partisan issue, and was incompetent in its follow
through.  Either that or Gautam figured that a radiological, nuclear,
chemical, or biological attack was unlikely even if possible, but
acceptable if it occurred.

In response to a message by [EMAIL PROTECTED] saying,

        >A) What could possibly be more important than finding the
        >weapons of mass destruction that were the entire
        >justification for the invasion in the first place?

John D. Giorgis said,

        Off the top of my head:
        -Toppling the regime of Saddam Hussein 
        -Restoring Civic Order
        -Preventing Mass Civilian Casulaties

to which I responded by saying,

    ... my understanding is that you are saying that for Americans as
    a whole, restoring civic order in Bagdad is more important than
    preventing an anthrax or radiological bomb attack against
    Washington, DC.

-- 
    Robert J. Chassell                         
    [EMAIL PROTECTED]                         GnuPG Key ID: 004B4AC8
    http://www.rattlesnake.com                  http://www.teak.cc
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