On Wed, 13 Apr 2005 23:09:30 -0400, JDG wrote

> On the other hand, if a given amount of government spending on the 
> war has greater benefits to the country than costs, once again, by 
> all means that spending should be undertaken.

As I think about this, I'm having a hard time applying cost-benefit analysis 
to war at all.  The costs are not quantifiable and benefits aren't very 
predictable (which is to say, I suppose, that a risk assessment is needed, 
which I assume is non-controversial on the face of it).  Certainly the money 
costs are, although there are plenty of ways to count.  But the cost in terms 
of the impact of the war on people is incalculable, I suspect.

At a personal level, I can report that the cost of losing a family member in 
the war turned out to be far, far higher than I ever imagined, in terms of the 
pain we're all feeling.  Although I remain on guard against self-
righteousness, I do believe, five months later, that those of us who have been 
directly touched by such a loss really do have a much better idea of the cost 
of war than those who haven't.  And most of us can hardly bring ourselves to 
imagine multiplying what we're feeling by 100,000+.  Parents having to bury 
children, in particular, feels so deeply wrong that doing any sort of math 
around it seems impossible.

Parents watching their kids grow up without opportunities because of a lack of 
health care, education, etc., doesn't come far behind, in terms of 
immeasurable costs.  And there are all the violence and other social problems 
that go with poverty and injustice (one of which is war itself, I'd argue).

On the other hand, this could point us to utilitarian arguments about counting 
lives saved v. lives lost.  As a true last resort, I'm sure war has to be 
evaluated that way.  So I'm more concerned with truly making war a very, very 
last resort.  It seems as though we could all agree that war, like abortion is 
something we want to seek to make rare, indeed, no matter how we might differ 
on strategy.

I really don't mean to inflame things by asking, but would you apply cost-
benefit analysis to abortion?  Is war really so different?

Nick
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