> From: David Brin <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > I agree that most market computer models wind up > screwing themselves because the market has an immune > reaction, adapting to one participant's success. > > Still, some people are right a LOT more than others.
But it is also true that the attention some people get affect whether what they say happens or not. Incestuous feedback. So if you start pegging person A of being slightly more right than offen than people will start treating A's thoughts as if they should be right which leads straight to him being slightly more right more often. Wash and repeat. But what if Person A's ideas are flawed or bad in some way and he starts getting treated as if his ideas are genius? Like say...Marx. Or the people who invented that Yeshua of Nazereth character? > Past performance does not predict future success. But > it is relevant to competance. I think this is incorrect, hence my counterexamples above. I think competence can be unrelated. _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
