On 11 Sep 2006 at 10:39, Nick Arnett wrote:

> > Some of it seems to be -- the Wiki piece has claims that could easily
> > pass 100K already. The info at http://iraqbodycount.org/ seems to be
> > about half that. But that's current numbers, and I think Nick was
> > projecting through to the end of the "war".
> 
> It wasn't me, it was the article I quoted... but I have an idea of
> what that number means.  It is from a comparison of death rates before
> and after the invasion, without regard to direct cause.  Thus, it is
> intended to include those who have died due to destruction of the
> infrastructure, lack of police, etc., in addition to those directly
> killed by the war.

Yes, and you know what the actual figure in the 2004 Lancet study 
was, right? 

98,000 (95% confidence interval: 8000 to 194000)

*Including* combatants.

A commentry on their methodology:

http://www.slate.com/id/2108887/

There appears to be no 2006 or even 2005 study.

AndrewC
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