http://tinyurl.com/2jwex5

"Victory Is Not an Option
The Mission Can't Be Accomplished -- It's Time for a New Strategy
By William E. Odom
Sunday, February 11, 2007; B01



The new National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq starkly delineates the  
gulf that separates President Bush's illusions from the realities of  
the war. Victory, as the president sees it, requires a stable liberal  
democracy in Iraq that is pro-American. The NIE describes a war that  
has no chance of producing that result. In this critical respect, the  
NIE, the consensus judgment of all the U.S. intelligence agencies, is  
a declaration of defeat."



[...]



"First, the assumption that the United States could create a liberal,  
constitutional democracy in Iraq defies just about everything known  
by professional students of the topic. Of the more than 40  
democracies created since World War II, fewer than 10 can be  
considered truly "constitutional" -- meaning that their domestic  
order is protected by a broadly accepted rule of law, and has  
survived for at least a generation. None is a country with Arabic and  
Muslim political cultures. None has deep sectarian and ethnic  
fissures like those in Iraq."



[...]



"Second, to expect any Iraqi leader who can hold his country together  
to be pro-American, or to share American goals, is to abandon common  
sense. It took the United States more than a century to get over its  
hostility toward British occupation. (In 1914, a majority of the  
public favored supporting Germany against Britain.) Every month of  
the U.S. occupation, polls have recorded Iraqis' rising animosity  
toward the United States. Even supporters of an American military  
presence say that it is acceptable temporarily and only to prevent  
either of the warring sides in Iraq from winning. Today the Iraqi  
government survives only because its senior members and their  
families live within the heavily guarded Green Zone, which houses the  
U.S. Embassy and military command."


William E. Odom, a retired Army lieutenant general, was head of Army  
intelligence and director of the National Security Agency under  
Ronald Reagan. He served on the National Security Council staff under  
Jimmy Carter. A West Point graduate with a PhD from Columbia, Odom  
teaches at Yale and is a fellow of the Hudson Institute.



-- 
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

I think a case can be made that faith is one of the world's great  
evils, comparable to the smallpox virus but harder to eradicate. -  
Richard Dawkins



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