Original Message:
-----------------
From: Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Sun, 4 May 2008 11:10:57 -0800
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: Re: An interesting response


Dan wrote:

>
>
> My argument is that we shouldn't think of green energy as merely a test of
> our will.  It is also dependant on the lay of the land.  Past behavior
> doesn't guarantee future behavior, but it's much more likely that, in 10
> years, we will have a 1 terabyte drive for $100 than have a plane that can
> carry 1500 passengers that flies for the same price (not price per
> passenger but total price) as a plane that carries 100.
>

>10 years?  You can get one for $200 now: *http://tinyurl.com/62bmep

>The way prices for hard drives change, I doubt it will be much more than
>one.

I stand corrected. :-)

How about 10 Tbytes in 10 years for $100? I suppose that might seem
expensive in 10 years, unless there is a lot of inflation between now and
then and the minimum wage goes to $100/hour.  

When I first looked at the price of disk space, in 1978, the HEP department
was paying $2.50 per week per Mbyte for its use of disk space.  

So, it's fair to say that I've understated my point. :-)

Dan M. 

Dan M. 

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