We're now almost 2 months into this disaster. I was wondering what folks are currently thinking about this event. I'm especially curious whether Dan M still thinks this is a black swan event or something more mundane. Is BP really that unlucky in that everything they tried didn't work? Or were they incompetent or just not trying hard enough? I really hope BP can't declare bankruptcy to get out of paying the bills for this thing.

On a personal level (and not nearly on the same scale as the folks in the Gulf area), my extended family is scheduled to hold a reunion on the beach at Destin, Florida. We are anxiously watching to see if we are going to be oiled out. It's a pain, especially as I've been looking forward to this vacation for *months*. But again, not nearly as bad as the people (and animals) who's lives have been ruined by the oil spill.

- jmh
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