>I'm trying to understand the money game stats, but clearly am having >no luck, so I'm requesting help.
Funny way to state your problem ... no luck ... :)) >I played a session, albeit poorly, which I lost 10 points to 13 over >7 games. According to the analysis, I played better overall, better >in checkers, and better with the cube. Despite this, and despite >losing, I am told I was the luckier of the two. Highly disputable IMHO. > > Opponent Me >Overall Statistics: >Error rate (total) -3.523 ( -4.811) -2.269 ( -3.939) >Error rate (per decision) - 25.7 ( -0.035) -14.2 ( -0.025) >Equiv. Snowie error rate -11.0 -7.1 >Overall rating Casual player Intermediate >Actual result +3.000 -3.000 >Luck adjusted result +1.958 -1.958 >Advantage (actual) in ppg +0.4286 - 0.4286 >95% confidence interval (ppg) 3.1388 3.1388 >Advantage (luck adjusted) in ppg +0.2797 -0.2797 >95% confidence interval (ppg) 0.9709 0.9709 No, your opp was the luckier. The actual result for him is +3.000 while the luck adjusted result for him is +1.958 : +1.958 < +3.000, this means that he had more luck than you. Other way to see it, his ACTUAL advantage in ppg is +0.4286 (that is equal to +3.000points / 7games), but his luck adjusted advantage in ppg is +0.2797 : +0.2797 < +0.4286, this means that he has been luckier than you. But notice that the fact you played better has nothing to do with it. You can play better (have a lower error rate) and be the luckier of the two. Luck does not depend on how you play, it depends only on rolls. MaX. _______________________________________________ Bug-gnubg mailing list [email protected] http://lists.gnu.org/mailman/listinfo/bug-gnubg
