Tim, the point you made is very clear. In my original post I
mentionned myself that in the "usual" interpretation there's some
inaccuracy. Also, I said that your method is (quote) "by far the right
conceptual way to answer the question".

That said, it seems that under usual conditions the multiple measures
are very close and any of these is equally good for the goal: indicate
if a rollout can be trusted or needs to be extended.

MaX.


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