Luck-adjusted results are computed using MWC while designations such as
Expert/Beginner/Awful! are computed using EMG. I suspect that the same is
true of Go to bed/Go to Las Vegas. My guess is that Richard made some
relatively small EMG errors at a late stage in the match where they made a
big MWC difference, while his opponent made relatively large EMG errors at
an early stage where they made only a small MWC difference. A similar
issue may apply for the assessment of the overall luck.
As for Ian's DMP test, I believe that the luck-adjusted result should
ideally be zero, but if the analysis was done on a different level from
the playing level, that could cause a discrepancy. Also the average of
the equities after all possible rolls should theoretically equal the
current equity, but if you use 2-ply (say) to analyze the equities after
all possible rolls, and analyze the current equity using 2-ply, then the
former might not average out to the latter, because 2-ply isn't perfect.
Tim
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