_http://www.phnompenhpost.com/index.php/2009102629191/National-news/pms-offe
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(http://www.phnompenhpost.com/index.php/2009102629191/National-news/pms-offer-seen-as-gamesmanship/Print.html)
 
 
PM’s offer seen as gamesmanship

 
Monday, 26 October 2009 15:03 James  O'Toole 


 

 
 
Photo by: AFP 
Prime Minister Hun Sen  shakes hands with Thailand’s Prime Minister Abhisit 
Vejjajiva at the 15th  Assocation of Southeast Asian Nations summit in 
Thailand on  Sunday.


Comments in Thailand welcoming Thaksin raise  questions, eyebrows.

AS ASEAN  delegates gathered in Hua Hin, Thailand, this weekend, intent on 
inaugurating a  new human rights body and articulating visions of European 
Union-style  cooperation, the latest conflagration in the long-smouldering 
dispute between  Thailand and Cambodia threatened to overshadow the 
proceedings.

Prime  Minister Hun Sen touched off the controversy last week when, in a 
meeting with  leading Thai opposition member Chavalit Yongchaiyudh, he called 
fugitive ex-Thai  prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra his “eternal friend”, 
offering a residence in  Cambodia to the elusive billionaire who has lived in 
exile since last year  following his conviction on corruption charges in 
2006. 

Thai leaders  were quick to cite an extradition agreement between Thailand 
and Cambodia that  they said they would promptly pursue in the event of 
Thaksin’s arrival here, but  in a statement released Friday, the Cambodian 
government said it would not  extradite Thaksin, with Hun Sen telling reporters 
in Hua Hin that Thaksin could  serve as his economic adviser.

But as leaders from both countries  exchanged barbs over the course of the 
weekend, analysts questioned whether Hun  Sen’s entreaty to Thaksin was a 
serious offer or just political  gamesmanship.

Josh Kurlantzick, a Southeast Asia expert with the Council  on Foreign 
Relations, noted the history of ties between Thaksin and Hun Sen,  which extend 
back to the 1990s and Thaksin’s career as a telecommunications  mogul. He 
allowed, though, for the possibility of Hun Sen using Thaksin’s  extradition 
as a diplomatic bargaining chip.

“Hun Sen and Thaksin’s  relationship is strong enough, from what anyone 
could tell from the outside,  that Hun Sen is unlikely to hand over Thaksin 
for political points,” he said.  “That said, Hun Sen isn’t exactly a 
sentimentalist when it comes to  politics.”

Though Hun Sen probably preferred Thaksin’s government to that  of current 
Thai Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva, the prospect of Thaksin’s  serving as 
an economic adviser in Cambodia is unlikely, said Christopher  Roberts, a 
lecturer at the University of Canberra and the author of an upcoming  book on 
ASEAN.

“I think most likely it’s just political posturing from  Hun Sen,” he 
said, adding that Thaksin would only take up the offer with a very  specific 
objective in mind.

“The only reason that Thaksin would take up  this option would be for the 
purpose of influencing the situation” in Thailand,  he said.

Duncan McCargo, a Southeast Asia specialist at Britain’s Leeds  University, 
said Hun Sen’s offer to Thaksin had been “carefully timed”, aimed  more at 
embarrassing his Thai hosts in Hua Hin than at securing Thaksin’s  presence 
in Cambodia.

This sort of gamesmanship, Kurlantzick said, has  been a common theme in 
Cambodia’s dealings with Thailand of late.

“I  think, bluntly, that Hun Sen these days rarely misses an opportunity to 
stick it  to Thailand, and this is a prime opportunity,” he said. 

ADDITIONAL REPORTING BY AFP AND CHHAY CHANNYDA  





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