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Opinion
 
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SIDELINES
In  many ways Thaksin, Hun Sen are political  clones

Published on  November 17, 2009 

IF fugitive Thaksin Shinawatra  is predictable in any way, it is that he 
never admits any  wrongdoing. Call it a sense of survival or deniability. It 
just does  not make any difference. In his own view, he is a man who does no  
wrong. 
Shortly after somebody hurled a grenade into the  rally site of the 
People's Alliance for Democracy on Sunday night,  causing several injuries, 
Thaksin 
wrote on Twitter that he had  nothing to do with the act. But nobody had 
yet to accuse him of  anything. It was the purpose of deniability, all the 
same.  
There was something quite odd about the content of his denial. He  was 
profusely forceful in the message that such an act should be  condemned, and 
that he professed a peaceful path in dealing with  conflicts. Such comments are 
alien to the nature of a man who made  rousing speeches instigating red 
shirts to create havoc in Bangkok  during the last Songkran festival.  
Or is it because he does not want Thais to forget him so quickly  that he 
must get himself in the news by whatever means? Of course,  nobody would 
imagine that it was his hand that triggered the attack  after jetting away from 
Cambodian soil a day earlier.  
His habits show. Thaksin is a man who sees an opportunity in any  crisis. 
The number of people killed or injured by whatever cause  won't trouble his 
conscience, judging from the thousands of victims  murdered by the police 
during his "war against drugs" several years  ago.  
In that "war", he claimed heroic deeds were done, though many of  the 
victims were killed mercilessly and without recourse to justice.  
Investigations 
moving at a snail's pace have yielded nothing  substantive, failing to 
punish any culprits.  
But the crisis Thaksin has created in souring relations between  Thailand 
and Cambodia continues to raise doubts as to the  consequences. Big bully Hun 
Sen still enjoys one-upmanship when he  deals with Prime Minister Abhisit. 
It's like a cat and mouse game,  and he knows well that he looks like a 
villain in the eyes of the  international community.  
Why did Thaksin leave in a hurry despite his earlier hints that  he might 
stay on for a few more days in Cambodia? The country serves  as a safe refuge 
despite a Thai request for his extradition to serve  his two-year jail 
term.  
He must have sensed something quite eerie during his presence.  The 
boastful style, being Mr Know All in giving a lecture on  "Thaksinomics" for 
300-plus Cambodian economic planners and  businessmen - failed to make a 
positive 
impression on the doubting  Cambodians, who have never trusted Thais during 
our long and  sometimes bitter history.  
Thaksin might not be sure that Hun Sen still has a firm control  now that 
the conflict with Thailand has escalated and that Cambodian  people stand to 
suffer - especially if the border is closed. With  casinos counting less 
revenue from Thai gamblers, the financial  fortunes of Hun Sen also dwindle.  
Surely not all the smiles directed at Thaksin during his stay as  an 
adviser to the Cambodian government were genuine. The Cambodians  too know the 
art 
of hiding long fangs; they went through a long and  bloody civil war when 
they murdered one another in the killing  fields. That brutality ranks not 
far behind the Nazi holocaust.  
Some Cambodians such as Sam Rainsy view Thaksin as an opportunist  who 
likes to fish in somebody else's pond and troubled waters if he  can make some 
money. The opposition leader had his parliamentary  privilege revoked 
yesterday, and that will cause more resentment  towards Hun Sen among 
Cambodians.  
Deep in his heart, Thaksin realises that he is the cause of these  
worsening diplomatic ties. Hun Sen took the matter personally due to  the stake 
he 
has with Thaksin in oil and gas ventures offshore, and  other spoils they 
intend to share. Cambodia will be a land of  opportunity for Thaksin unless the 
people rise against the village  tyrant who has ruled the country for 24 
years.  
By leaving Phnom Penh, Thaksin can at least focus on his own  increasing 
troubles resulting from his miscalculations in his  continuing attempt to 
regain political power. His setback after  giving a damaging interview to 
TimesOnline can never be amended. It  is best, therefore, to let Hun Sen sort 
out 
his own problems with  Thailand.  
After tallying the score, the two friends in deed should find  that they 
share a mutual loss in all regards, with hardly any  recognition left in the 
international community. There is nowhere to  go but down. It's just a matter 
of sooner or later.  
Hun Sen is the Robert Mugabe of Asia, and Thaksin can never dream  of being 
Nelson Mandela, as he likes to portray himself. Both are  just partners in 
crime. In some negative views, they are just common  crooks and criminals 
with self-perceived class.  
 
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November 17, 2009 02:33 am (Thai local  time)
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