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---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Gaffar Peang-Meth <[email protected]>
Date: Tue, Dec 13, 2011 at 10:58 AM
Subject: Danger of new autocrats underestimated
To:



*PACIFIC DAILY NEWS*
Dec. 14, 2011

*Danger of new autocrats underestimated*

A. Gaffar Peang-Meth

Two years ago, I presented in this space a June 2009 posting in Foreign
Policy Online titled "Authoritarianism's New Wave," about a "new class of
autocrats" and their "most serious challenge" to the rules of law, human
rights, and open expression. The piece was jointly written by Jennifer
Windsor, Jeffrey Gedmin and Libby Liu, of Freedom House, Radio Free Europe,
and Radio Free Asia, respectively.

The three organizations also published a report, "Undermining Democracy:
21st Century Authoritarians," on the strategies and methods of five
countries -- China, Iran, Pakistan, Russia and Venezuela -- "to impede
human rights and democratic development" within and beyond their borders.

The report asserted "advocates for freedom" -- democrats in those countries
-- receive little attention and few resources from the democratic world
because the systems that persecute them "are poorly understood" and that
Western "policymakers do not appear to appreciate the dangers these 21st
century models pose to democracy and rule of law around the world."
The new wave

Windsor, Gedmin and Liu see the new autocrats and the traditional
authoritarians as using the same tools to manipulate "the legal system,
media control and outright fear" to stay in power.

Yet the new autocrats engage in something new and unique: "armies of
commentators and provocateurs to distract and disrupt legitimate Internet
discussions"; "updated, sophisticated, and lavishly funded" global media
enterprises to shape international values and views; disruption of key
international rules and rights-based organizations, including the United
Nations. And the Chinese have emerged as the world's largest lender, doling
out billions of dollars of no-strings-attached foreign aid.

Also unique and new is what the new autocrats are not doing.

The new autocrats who "redefined and heavily distorted" the concept of
democracy, stress their achievements and belittle what is Western, promote
strong "nationalistic or extremist" views of history, and imprint in young
people hostile attitudes toward democracy and suspicion of the outside
world.

They seek to control Internet access "through physical, economic, and
technological means," and use "draconian laws" to punish outspoken online
critics and discourage others from criticism.

While Russia, Iran and Venezuela use "oil wealth to ... bankroll clients
abroad," China uses the "win-win (shuangying)" doctrine of foreign
relationships and her "soft-power methods" to encourage Latin American,
African, Asian and Arab states toward "mutually beneficial arrangements
with China" through "no-strings-attached development aid."

But it's not how much money China gives or loans to others that's
significant. It's that Chinese aid has become for dictators an alternative
to Western aid, which demands "good governance." The Chinese don't care who
the recipients of their aid are.

There are major differences among the five countries studied, but they
share "important common traits" -- each country is ruled by a "small
in-group" using state power and national wealth to serve the group's
interests and ensure support of citizens. All five lack "built-in
corrective measures" -- "genuinely competitive elections, free media,
independent civil society organizations, and the rule of law."

This allows "repressive and arbitrary governance, and ... entrenched,
rampant corruption."

The new autocrats realize that absolute control over information and
economic activity is neither possible nor necessary. Instead, their
contemporary methods include guiding and managing political discourse;
selectively suppressing or reshaping news and information; squelching,
co-opting or paralyzing important business entities; allowing ordinary
Chinese and Russian citizens to travel freely to these authoritarian
countries; and engaging in global trading and international commercial
relationships.

The new autocrats' priority is political control: A person prepared to
acknowledge the ruling group's supremacy and follow its directives is
allowed a certain amount of autonomy to operate. "Loyalists are rewarded,
enemies are punished, the neutral are neglected or casually abused," says
the report.

It concludes: "The strength and competitive advantage of democratic states
lie in their rules-based, accountable, and open systems, and in the values
and standards that support them. ... It is therefore in the democracies'
interest to safeguard and promote the very qualities that set them apart
from the authoritarians."
China's methods

Council on Foreign Relations fellow Joshua Kurlantzick's "The long arm of
China, A rising world power begins to intervene in outside governments"
writes that China trains several thousand officials from surrounding
countries yearly on strategies to keep the government in power.

On Cambodia, Kurlantzick writes, "members of China's Communist Party have
advised Prime Minister Hun Sen's party on how to use laws for libel and
defamation to scare the independent media, create a network of senior
officials who can control major companies, and instill loyalty in special
police and bodyguard forces."

Regarding China, the government's severe restrictions on those who advocate
for greater freedoms is well known. Liu Xiaobo, winner of the Nobel Peace
Prize, was imprisoned for his activism on behalf of the rights of the
Chinese people. The university professor was sentenced in 2009 to 11 years
in jail for "incitement to subvert state power."

According to the New York Times' Didi Kirsten Tatlow, Liu "sees the
problems, the corruption, the bullying" that ordinary people in China
experience in the course of their daily lives. The omnipotent government
would have the world see a different China, Liu warns the West.

*A. Gaffar Peang-Meth, Ph.D., is retired from the University of Guam. Write
him at [email protected].*

http://www.guampdn.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/201112140400/OPINION02/112140324

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