On Saturday, August 10, 2013 12:24:56 PM UTC-7, Vincent Thach wrote:
>
> ===>OPINIONS<====
>
> This analysis is not completely accepted for the time being. Monarchy 
> becomes the manipulated tool of CPP. JS, this is the strategic tactic of 
> Hun Sen for splitting the CNRP as he usually did with previous strong 
> parties. But Kem Sokha will become the 2nd Ranariddh if he falls into the 
> trap. Synergistic win in this election is because the cooperation of the 
> both figures but I think when Kem Sokha divorces Sam Rainsy, he will become 
> a suicide person. Then Sam Rainsy will be very quickly gaining the 
> popularity among people alone. However, he will be too old to lead the 
> country if the present NEC is changed.
>
>
>  
>
*Your view is perhaps acceptable and likely to happen. However, remember! 
similar situation happened in the past. Sam Rainsy himself aligned with Hun 
Sen when his party won a good amount of seat after the fall of Rannarid 
party.  What Sam Rainsy didn't do was to serve as nation builder. 
Instead, he chose to stand on democracy alone at any cost. That was what 
got him in trouble. That was why not the majority of people would accepted 
him. Now, similar situation arises. Sam Rainsy play popular slogan 
attracting people to be on his side, especially those young Cambodians who 
believe in change as Sam Rainsy wants them to do. They don't know that Sam 
Rainsy has his own agenda. If Sam Rainsy and his party happen to win, they 
would face tremendous challenge trying to please their constituants. That 
challenge will be a major destruction of his party once again. *
 
*Here  is what I think. Sam Rainsy and his party will not get what they 
want. They will get something. Then their constituants will find out that 
their party put them down once again. Hun Sen and CPP will make them look 
like they lost and agreed for a small settlement. That will be the view 
that many young  Cambodians will see. Then they realized that politics play 
more lips services than the outcome truth. *
 

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