New York Times: Cambodians Deserve Better
By OU VIRAKDEC. 4, 2015

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Cambodians Deserve Better
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Cambodians Deserve Better
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The Hun Sen government cracks down, but the opposition won't rise to the
occasion.
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PHNOM PENH, Cambodia — Cambodian politics is in the midst of an ugly
crisis. Prime Minister Hun Sen
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/h/_hun_sen/index.html?inline=nyt-per>,
after officially winning the 2013 election by just a narrow margin and
facing months of massive anti-government protests, seemed to have regained
control. Yet in recent weeks the authorities have cracked down on the
opposition Cambodia National Rescue Party, C.N.R.P.

For a prime minister who has mastered a form of kleptocratic electoral
authoritarianism during three decades in power, the resort to violence,
intimidation and judicial harassment betrays Hun Sen’s great anxiety about
the prospects of his party in the next general election in 2018.

On Oct. 26, two C.N.R.P. parliamentarians were pulled out of their cars
outside the National Assembly and badly beaten by thugs while the police
looked on. The same day a mob descended on the house of the C.N.R.P.’s
deputy leader, Kem Sokha, pelting it with rocks while his wife cowered
indoors. A few days later, Kem Sokha was unseated as first vice-president
of the National Assembly.

On Nov. 13, an arrest warrant was issued against the C.N.R.P.’s leader, Sam
Rainsy, who was traveling out of the country, in connection with a 2008
defamation case brought by the foreign minister. Sam Rainsy was soon
stripped of his position as National Assembly representative, and of
parliamentary immunity. Several more dubious charges have been brought
against him since then; he now faces at least 17 years in prison. He has
not returned to Cambodia
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/international/countriesandterritories/cambodia/index.html?inline=nyt-geo>
.

A former royalist born into a once-privileged political family who likes to
call attention to Hun Sen’s Khmer Rouge past, Sam Rainsy has been a
mainstay of Cambodia’s democratic opposition since the mid-1990s. He has
spent years in self-imposed exile to avoid politically motivated charges,
returning shortly before the 2013 election only after receiving a royal
pardon.

Hun Sen’s strategy seems to be to keep Sam Rainsy away rather than imprison
him and risk turning him into a democracy icon like Daw Aung San Suu Kyi.
But Sam Rainsy has yet to call the bluff. On Nov. 14, just after the first
arrest warrant, he told hundreds of Cambodians gathered in South Korea,
“Cambodia is my homeland — I absolutely must go back and rescue our
nation,” adding, “If I must die, let it be.” Two days later, he postponed
his return indefinitely.

Having failed again to rise to the occasion, he now tours foreign capitals
complaining about Hun Sen’s abuses of power. Meanwhile back home the
C.N.R.P. has yet to establish a viable, comprehensive policy platform.
Worse, at times the party unabashedly stirs up Cambodians’ historical
animosity toward Vietnam and the ethnic Vietnamese population of Cambodia.

Cambodians deserve better. They made clear in 2013 that they wanted change,
and some took great risks to say so. Armed with smartphones and a new
political fervor, they poured into the streets during the campaign. Then,
after credible allegations of election fraud, they challenged the narrow
victory of the ruling Cambodian People’s Party by rallying unprecedented
demonstrations organized by the C.N.R.P.

Those gatherings recurred over several months, until early January 2014,
when state security forces fired into a crowd of garment workers, killing
several people. The C.N.R.P., critically weakened and strategically at a
loss, then sued for peace. By the summer of 2014, after the party had
boycotted Parliament for nearly a year, Sam Rainsy made a deal with Hun
Sen. The C.N.R.P.’s members-elect would join Parliament and drop any
complaints, on the promise that the electoral system would be reformed
ahead of the 2018 election.

This so-called culture of dialogue has now been discredited, and not only
because it couldn’t prevent an onslaught against the C.N.R.P. With both Hun
Sen and Sam Rainsy reverting to type, the political elite seems
increasingly out of touch with the electorate, and serious policy thinking
is falling by the wayside. Hun Sen is too busy inventing various bogeymen
to divert the Cambodian public’s attention from the corruption, corporate
pillaging and human rights abuses occurring on his watch. Sam Rainsy still
seems to prefer playing at activist-in-exile than work at becoming a
leader-in-waiting.

The Cambodians who mobilized in 2013 still want change, especially the
young. In 2013, approximately 3.5 million young Cambodians were eligible to
vote, out of a total of 9.5 million eligible voters, and the proportion is
predicted to be higher in 2018. That age group remains politically engaged:
The Facebook page of Voice of America Khmer has over 2.5 million “likes,”
Sam Rainsy’s page has close to 1.9 million and Hun Sen’s more than 1.4
million.
Yet more and more Cambodians risk feeling marginalized if politicians
continue to avoid serious policy discussions about critical issues. As
Cambodia has grown richer, inequality has been rising. Narrowing that gap
would mean reining in wealthy tycoons, penalizing corruption and
encouraging small businesses. Substantive electoral reform is vital to
avoid the shortcomings of the 2013 election. So is institutional reform,
especially to depoliticize the judiciary, the police and the military. The
economic and security integration of the Asean community requires combating
terrorism, better managing refugees and legalizing the status of migrant
workers.

These would be vexing issues anywhere at any time, and they are complicated
by the Cambodian government’s stubborn resistance to change. But the
C.N.R.P.’s solipsism isn’t helping. It is alienating voters and dividing
reformists, some of whom are turning to fledgling political parties born of
disaffection with the C.N.R.P., like the Grassroots Democracy Party and the
Beehive Social Democratic Party, which still lack the critical mass to
influence much change.

The pattern of political gamesmanship in Cambodia — violence and bogus
criminal charges on the one hand, and exile, protests and boycotts on the
other — is an obstacle to devising concrete policy solutions to Cambodia’s
most pressing problems. Old habits die hard, if they die at all. It’s time
for a changing of the guard, on all sides.

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Ou Virak is president of Future Forum, a policy research institute in Phnom
Penh.

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