The Taipan Group's 247profits e-Dispatch
Baltimore, New York, Chicago, Berlin, Bonn, London and Paris
August 17-18, 2004
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***US industry cranking along at highest capacity in more than three years!
***More dead-on predictions. And what about that impending real-estate
collapse? Construction of new homes and apartments rose by 8.3% in
July�
***Not Everybody is Getting Battered in Today's Market�
31%, 37%, 85%, 100%, 100% and 73% gains taken in just one week.
Wouldn't you like to make gains like these? Here's how the whole thing
works!
http://www.youreletters.com/t/46390/3785361/464/70/
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>From the Desk of J. Christoph Amberger
Dear Friend,
How's this for "soft forecasting"? Yours truly went all out yesterday,
committing himself to the breathtaking statement:
"The next key date for the dollar is tomorrow, when data for industrial
production and the consumer price index will be released. My guess is that
both will come in modestly better than expected."
Leave it to me to hit the nail squarely on the head! US consumer prices fell
by a barely-there 0.1% in July, while the output of US factories, mines and
utilities rose by 0.4%� meaning US industry was cranking along at its
highest capacity in more than three years.
And what about that impending real-estate collapse? We never bought into
that, either. Thus far, it looks like we've been more accurate than last
weekend's weather forecasts: construction of new homes and apartments
rose by 8.3% in July.
*** "31%, 37%, 85%, 100%, 100% and 73% gains taken in just one
week," smirked Extreme Volatility Speculator's Ian Cooper in an email to
me today:
"In just one week - a down week for most US indices - the EVS team raked
in the above gains simply betting that historically high oil prices, fueled by
fears of Russian and Venezuelan supply shortages and unrest in Iraq, would
have a significant impact on US markets.
"And all you had to do was buy and exit the DIA and QQQ as advised.
"But that's not all. The EVS team's "Year of Profits" calendar just produced
a 460% gain in less than three weeks� simply by playing the historical
trends of the market."
There it is again: "Farmer" Cooper's notorious Profits Almanac! Just
following the calendar, Ian puts the Dynamic Market Theory to work, buying
the Russell 2000 put recommendation for July 1. Those "hanging with Mr.
Cooper" banked a 460% gain if they bought the August 540's at US$2.65
and sold at US$14.20.
This is the same team that helped investors realize a two-week 37% gain on
shares of Kronos Inc., one-month gains of 111% and 37% playing the short
side of Express Scripts prior to news of legal action, and a 35% gain playing
the short side of Adobe on news that insiders were running scared.
Ian comments:
"While it may look like we just play options, they only account for 50% of
our trades. The other 50% includes our next 'must own' play that's already
produced gains of 10% in one day and could produce triple-digit gains in the
near term. Here's more:
"While a failed nanotechnology IPO sent traders scrambling for cover, news
that nanotechnology spending may double could bring many of them back to
the table. In fact, spending on nanotechnology could shoot up about 10% to
US$8.6 billion this year alone. Corporations could spend up to US$3.8
billion on it, and the government, which remains the leader in nano spending,
could spend any where up to US4$4.6 billion. Couple that with recent
insider buying and an upgrade to Buy, and our 10% gain could be dwarfed in
the near term."
For more information on the EVS team, the "Year of Profits" calendar, and
the next play to own, please visit this link now:
http://www.youreletters.com/t/46390/3785361/464/70/
***You Could Make 6,410% Gains at the Expense of Terrorists
The group that recommended Taser International (TASR:NASDAQ) at
$4.00 and watched it rally to $64.00 now says�
Make the terrorists pay.
"These companies could single-handedly secure America's homeland� and
make you 1,275% - no matter who's elected President."
Learn more NOW:
http://www.youreletters.com/t/46390/3785361/379/70/
Earnings Announcements for Wednesday, August 18, 2004:
Brocade Communications Systems Inc., CACI International Inc., Devry
Inc., Gamestop Corp., Hewlett-Packard Co., Hollinger International Inc.,
Lennox International Inc., Nestle SA ADR, Synovis Life Technologies Inc.,
and Toys R Us Inc. are some of the companies releasing earnings.
Brought to you by your free daily "Profit Hog" e-newsletter. You can sign up
for your copy here:
http://www.youreletters.com/t/46390/3785361/380/0/
***Quote of the Day:
"If the administration would simply cease filling SPR, or better yet
begin releasing small amounts of crude oil reserves onto the market,
then oil markets would become two-sided again. This would force a
rapid unwinding of long positions that would bring down oil prices by
$10 a barrel or more. It would electrify investors (and consumers) and
would surely contribute to a big pre-election rally. Thirteen years ago
Papa Bush employed a similar tactic during the Persian Gulf War. Oil
prices crashed."
--Larry Kudlow, August 10, 2004
***WORLD OF PROFITS***
*** "But we feel the tide is ripe for turning again: where our indicators were
bearish on Friday, they're bullish today. Look for tomorrow's gain to make
up for today's losses."
We like it when we're right. Hong Kong's auspicious beginning, however,
was tempered by selling after traders returned to their desks from their two-
hour lunch break. The index closed at 12,256.12, up 36.37 points or
0.30%.
For tomorrow, our indicators hint at a repeat performance of Monday's
bearish curve. Spread your safety net at around 1%.
*** "Our indicators now point to gains of between 0.7% to 1%, with the
export sector lagging a tad."
Japan's Nikkei 225 did indeed post an intraday high at 10,802.64 before
closing at 10,725.97, up just 38.16 points (0.36%) for the day.
For tomorrow, the indicators point to a laboriously bullish day� which is to
say, a day with an upside below 0.5%.
***DESK OF DENHOLM***
This just in from Taipan's resident Editor-at-Large, Martin Denholm:
These are confusing times for investors. Even veteran economists and
investment "gurus" were left scratching their heads after Monday's solid
market performance. Are we to assume the bout of buying was due to the
good news out of Venezuela that helped stabilize not only the country, but
also the oil market? Or was it just because it was a Monday? Heck, who
knows? There's no rhyme or reason to the market these days, so anything's
possible!
***The Big Freeze: I could scarcely believe my eyes when I read this in
Britain's Guardian newspaper this morning:
UK house prices remained flat in July.
Holy smokes! I thought prices rose again in July. But according to the Royal
Institution of Chartered Surveyors, au contraire. The group said overall
prices froze for the first time in a year, and in some areas actually fell. It also
said the numbers of house hunters has "dropped significantly." That might
have something to do with the summer being the quietest season of the year,
but the Bank of England's four recent interest rate hikes are probably playing
a part too (and not before time!).
***Industrial Producers' European Vacation: June arrived� and European
manufacturers took off. News from Europe today that industrial production
slid 0.4% from May, casting doubts on whether the region's solid export
pace will continue.
Perhaps the most worrying aspect of the data was that the Eurozone's
biggest player, Germany, witnessed a hefty 2% drop, fueling the argument
that third-quarter growth is set to slow. For the past eight months or so,
German exports have almost single-handedly propped up the economy and
accounted for virtually all GDP growth - projected to be around 1.5% to
1.8% this year - while domestic consumer spending has remained deep in the
doldrums, with no sign of an imminent recovery.
Second-quarter export growth hit 3.8% - a solid figure, but one that has not
resulted in any job creation. Should export growth falter, it would spell more
bad news for Germany.
Citing an unemployment rate well over 10% and nonexistent job growth, the
Bundesbank warns that higher oil prices poses a "serious risk" to consumer
spending and that Germany's economic growth may have peaked in the
second quarter. The DIW Institute provides more detail, claiming third-
quarter economic growth will slow to 0.4% from the second quarter's 0.5%.
OK, I'm out for today. Back tomorrow. Stay tuned.
***TAIPAN TIDINGS***
***Once a year, we introduce a select group of readers to one of the most
�lite trading groups in the world. Today, you're invited to join this group at a
substantial discount. Please take a moment and read the following invitation.
I believe you may be interested in knowing about - and becoming part of - a
special group we call the VIP Inner Circle. To learn more about this
exclusive invitation, please follow this link:
http://www.youreletters.com/t/46390/3785361/487/70/
J. Christoph Amberger
Executive Publisher
and The Taipan Group's
247profits e-Dispatch Team
P.S. $3 a gallon? $4 a gallon?
The Big Three automakers have already invested billions in alternative
energy. And so has Big Oil. Because they know what's coming.
Over the next eight years, alterative energy could turn every $1 you invest
into $12 to $18. Or more. But you'll have to act fast. Alternative energy will
be a major presidential campaign issue - regardless of who is elected. So act
now and catch the first big move.
Use the Money-Flow Matrix Trader and find out exactly where to put your
money NOW:
http://www.youreletters.com/t/46390/3785361/408/70/
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