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The Al Mohler Crosswalk Commentary � 
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Thursday, November 4, 2004

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>>  As the Smoke Clears--- What Does the Election Really Mean?

For too long, it looked like the 2004 presidential election was headed
for a repeat of the 2000 race, with an army of lawyers descending--this
time on Ohio--in an effort to litigate the electoral decision. Yet as
the electoral map grew clearer and results poured in, what had been
forecast as a tight election turned out not to be a cliffhanger after
all. President George W. Bush won a clear majority of votes and
sufficient support in the Electoral College to guarantee his reelection
to a second four-year term.

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Though the early morning hours on Wednesday reflected the Sturm und
Drang of a political meltdown, the situation was resolved by midday,
when it became clear that the total number of provisional ballots in
Ohio would be insufficient to reverse President Bush's clear lead in
that critical state.

In the end, the election was concluded with dignity and grace, as befits
a great democracy. Senator John Kerry, standing in Boston's historic
Faneuil Hall, told his supporters, "In America, it is vital that every
vote count, and that every vote be counted. But the outcome should be
decided by voters, not a protracted legal process. I would not give up
this fight if there was a chance that we would prevail." He went on to
explain the insufficient number of provisional ballots that made an Ohio
win impossible for his candidacy. "And therefore we cannot win this
election," he concluded.

In an eloquent and moving address, Senator Kerry conceded the race and
looked to the future. "We are required now to work together for the good
of our country. In the days ahead, we must find common cause. We must
join in common effort, without remorse or recrimination, without anger
or rancor. America is in need of unity and longing for a larger measure
of compassion. I hope President Bush will advance these values in the
coming years. I pledge to do my part to try to bridge the partisan
divide. I know this is a difficult time for my supporters, but I ask
them, all of you, to join me in doing that."

Robbed twice of his opportunity to deliver a victory address on the
night of a presidential election, President George W. Bush nonetheless
spoke movingly as he addressed the nation and accepted the electoral
victory. "Earlier today, Senator Kerry called with his congratulations,"
the president reported. "We had a really good phone call. He was very
gracious. Senator Kerry waged a spirited campaign, and he and his
supporters can be proud of their efforts. Laura and I wish Senator Kerry
and Teresa and their whole family all our best wishes. America has
spoken, and I am humbled by the trust and confidence of my fellow
citizens."

In celebrating his victory, President Bush also looked to those who had
supported his opponent. After reviewing his plans for the next four
years, the President reached out to Kerry supporters. "Reaching these
goals will require the broad support of Americans. So today I want to
speak to every person who voted for my opponent. To make this nation
stronger and better, I will need your support and I will work to earn
it. I will do all I can do to deserve your trust. A new term is a new
opportunity to reach out to the whole nation. We have one country, one
Constitution, and one future that binds us."

Cynics on both sides dismissed the grace and formality of Wednesday's
speeches as little more than the dance of political etiquette. There is
something to that, of course, but we should never take lightly the fact
that Americans--divided though we are by a deep ideological
divide--still respect the democratic process and accept the clear
verdict of the electorate. When election results in some other nations
are greeted by gunfire in the streets, a gracious concession and a
humble acceptance on the part of political candidates are not to be
dismissed lightly.

The 2004 presidential race defied expectations and surprised at least
the majority of analysts in both parties. The conventional wisdom held
that a large voter turnout spelled disaster for the Republican
candidate, but a massive voter registration and mobilization effort on
the part of the Bush campaign actually turned that maxim on its head.
Furthermore, many Democratic analysts discounted the impact of values
issues, and so failed to detect an enormous unrest among conservative
Americans that would be transformed into a tidal wave of voting on
Election Day.

One thing is now certain: Both parties now recognize the strategic,
indeed determinative, impact of evangelical voters and others concerned
primarily about moral and social issues. As the initial electoral data
is compiled, the pattern is absolutely clear. The role of voters
motivated to preserve marriage, restrain an activist judiciary, and
protect unborn human life was decisive, massive, and indisputable.

If demography really is destiny, the demographic data revealed an
ideological and sociological divide. As reporters John Harwood and Jacob
M. Schlesinger reported in The Wall Street Journal, "White voters turned
out to cast ballots for President Bush by double-digit margins.
Hispanics backed Mr. Kerry by a similar margin, while blacks backed him
by 10 to 1." Beyond this, "regular churchgoers were rock-solid behind
the Republican incumbent. So were married voters with children and
Americans who own guns. Those who care most about the threat of
terrorism and issues related to moral values voted overwhelmingly to
give the 43rd president a second term."

But, on the other hand, "voters who say they never attend church
services sided just as strongly with the Democratic senator from
Massachusetts. So did gay voters, single voters, union members, and
those most concerned about health care, jobs and Iraq."

With so much attention given to the electoral map with states divided
into red [Republican] and blue [Democratic] designations, many wondered
if these designations were more artificial than real. That question was
put to rest on Tuesday, when the divisions between red and blue America
were demonstrated to be even more extreme than previous elections had
indicated. When the red and blue map is broken down at the county level,
the nation is revealed to be a massive sea of red interrupted by
isolated pockets of highly-populated blue.

Religious faith--and Christian faith in particular--is the most
effective predictor of red and blue identity. As the Harwood and
Schlesinger research indicated, churchgoers voted overwhelmingly for
George W. Bush, with the rate of church attendance being the single most
effective predictor of a vote for the Republican candidate.

The reverse was equally true, with secularists voting as a bloc for John
Kerry. This clear electoral divide should remind us of sociologist Peter
Berger's research measuring the relative religiosity of world cultures.
In his study, Berger found that the nation of India registered the
highest level of religious fervor, while Sweden came in dead last,
registering highest in terms of cultural secularism. Looking at America,
Berger famously observed that we are "a nation of Indians ruled over by
an elite of Swedes." On Tuesday, the Indians asserted themselves
politically in a powerful way, and sent the Swedes packing. This will
serve as a wake up call for both parties, with Republicans now reminded
that moral issues matter most to their most committed voters and with
the Democrats wondering how they can ever build a bridge to a population
now alienated by the party's liberal secular values.

Added to all this is the realization that state measures defining
marriage as the union of a man and a woman--most in the form of
constitutional amendments--all passed by huge margins. Even as gay
advocacy groups prepared to contest the provisions in court, Lambda
Legal, one of the most active groups litigating for gay rights and
same-sex marriage, warned gay couples to turn to the courts only if
victory appeared to be a reasonable outcome. "We'll discourage
additional litigation if it runs a serious risk of resulting in a loss
that could set us back many years," said Lambda Legal attorney David
Buckel.

International observers were almost apoplectic in the face of President
Bush's decisive win. One British observer noted that with moral issues
playing such an important role in the election, Americans appeared
closer to societies like Nigeria and Saudi Arabia than secular Europe.
Europeans were shocked and puzzled at the role of "God, guns, and gays"
in the 2004 U. S. election, demonstrating once again the reality of
"American exceptionalism" that sets this nation apart from the
liberalism and secularism of its European allies.

Some American observers seemed to be as shocked as the Europeans.
Michelle Cottle, writing in The New Republic, was flabbergasted that
"Bush's reelection was driven by a bunch of folks freaked out over the
thought of gay marriage and stem-cell research." In a twist of clearly
unintended irony, "God save the republic," was all she could say in
response.

The election data revealed some more humorous aspects as well. Citizens
of Alabama voted to allow the state government to promote the shrimp
industry and Alaskan voters rejected a provision that would have
outlawed hunters using doughnuts and pizza to lure bears out of the
forest. Democracy lives on.

____________________________________

R. Albert Mohler, Jr. is president of The Southern Baptist Theological
Seminary in Louisville, Kentucky.  For more articles and resources by
Dr. Mohler, and for information on The Albert Mohler Program, a daily
national radio program broadcast on the Salem Radio Network, go to
www.albertmohler.com.  For information on The Southern Baptist
Theological Seminary, go to www.sbts.edu.  Send feedback to
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